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Ballarat Race 10: Isuzu Handicap 1200m

20/11/2015: Last start in the Lavazza Short Black, Weinholt found the distance a problem and the drop back to 1200m, a distance where he beat dual Flemington winner Malaguerra, two runs ago, is far more suitable. With a terrific run in transit expect him to be a top chance. Mandla's first up run to Flamberge in the Durbridge Stakes was an excellent run at wfa level. Last start he flopped up the straight at Flemington similar to another ordinary run on April 25 up the straight. He will go better today. Red Bomber's first up form is only average but boy did he improve last campaign defeating Trust In A Gust, Gracious Prospect and Charmed Harmony along the way. He might be a run short but is too classy to take chances with, especially with the 3 kg claim. I don't know why General Jackson hasn't been ridden for speed as per his win in the Apache Cat Classic in recent runs. He was caught wide in the same race Gallant Harmony was caught wide behind Tawteen so I am expecting those two to be finishing next to one another again. It's worth noting Gallant Harmony defeated Trevinder, a recent Moonee Valley winner, last campaign and with the clever 3kg claim for Jessica Payne will be in the finish. Magnus Reign also ran well behind Tawteen and you have to forget his last run as he isn't keen on wet tracks.

Ballarat Race 10. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 17:55, 21/11/2015

RACEMAPIsuzu Handicap 1200m
Front Runners (2) Villopoto, (14) British General.
On Pacers (1) Gallant Harmony, (3) Weinholt, (8) Hard Stride, (9) General Jackson, (10) Solsay.
Mid Fielders (13) Pago Rock, (15) Mandla.
Get Back (4) Sang Choi Bao, (5) We're Gonna Rock, (7) Red Bomber, (11) Magnus Reign, (12) Metaphorical, (15) Search Squad, (16) Whistle Baby.
PACE COMMENTS With just two leaders in Villopoto and British General (well, probably more likely British General) and possibly General Jackson surging forward the pace will be fair to good on settling but I must admit I wouldn't be too keen on the back markers being able to run those ahead down. This race seems like one that will have the early positioning settled quickly and perhaps mid race there might be a slower pace.
CHANCESIsuzu Handicap 1200mOrderMargin
Weinholt PLUS: Distance change most suitable, four distance wins and four good track wins. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Mandla PLUS: Four distance wins, five wins on good tracks, strong behind Flamberge first up, 2 kg claim helpful. B 0.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Red Bomber PLUS: Seven good track wins from eleven runs, three wins from four distance runs, massive improver last campaign. C 0.75
  MINUS: Previous first up runs just average in weaker class.    
Gallant Harmony PLUS: Two distance wins, three good track wins, wide behind Tawteen, 3kg claim great help. D 1.25
  MINUS: 28 days break a concern.    
General Jackson PLUS: Seven good track wins, two distance wins, races on pace or leads, 1.5kg claim handy. E 1.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Magnus Reign PLUS: Six good track wins, didn't like wet track last start, first up run strong. F 1.75
  MINUS: Two wins from twenty starts at distance but has won longer distance.    
Quadrella Race# Ballarat 21 November 2015
Ballarat 7 Magic Millions 3 & 4 Year Olds Classic 1100m
Ballarat 8 Ballarat Cup 2200m
Ballarat 9 Eureka Concrete BM84 1400m
Ballarat 10 Isuzu Handicap 1200m
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