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Bendigo Race 6: Catanach's Gold Bracelet 1400m

18/03/2016: I am going out on the proverbial limb by tipping Amarela as on face value her form doesn't look that flash this preparation. However, she drops in grade, is third up and is ready after two runs at huge odds which were respectable in tougher fields. My only concern is if the track is damp as her three runs in soft conditions have just been fair in weaker company. Atlantis Dream, with 58kg, is thrown in at the weights as a 98 rater with Nadeem Lass, with 57kg, an 88-rater, the closest class wise which equates to 4kg for the weights fans. However, we don't know her fitness level and her first up wins have been in ordinary class events. I am going to assume she will need the run at the distance on her way to Adelaide, most likely, but I could quite easily be wrong, and by a good margin at that. Noela's Choice really comes into this race if there is any rain about but even on a dry track she figures as a chance as evidenced by her 1.05 length defeat in the Group 3 Standish Handicap behind Durendal and Churchill Dancer, who was just beaten home by Chautauqua last week in the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap. Written is a bit of a moody type and is therefore difficult to follow - however on her day, her Fast Approaching / Marli Magic formline has her a chance in this event.

Bendigo Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:10, 19/03/2016

RACEMAPCatanach's Gold Bracelet 1400m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (1) Our Harmony, (2) Distant Dreams, (6) Written.
Mid Fielders (3) Iteration, (5) Amarela, (9) Atlantis Dream, (10) Samartested.
Get Back (4)Noela's Choice, (7) Hijack Hussy, (8) Gabella, (11) Nadeem Lass, (12) Luskin Belle, (13) Lola De Oro.
PACE COMMENTS With no regular front runner it's up to my on pacers to move forward into prominent positions. They should do that with a minimum of fuss and thereafter just amble along. This scenario will make it just that much tougher on the get back runners so risk them unless you feel the price is worth the trouble. With the pace as average at best be wary about the price you accept if you back a mid fielder.
CHANCESCatanach's Gold Bracelet 1400mOrderMargin
Amarela PLUS: Has won at 1660m so forget the zero from five at the distance (three genuine excuse runs involved), class drop helps. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Atlantis Dream PLUS: Distance not an issue, handles all types of track, has several kilos weight advantage via handicappers ratings. B 0.25
  MINUS: Both first up wins at 1200m in weaker company.    
Written PLUS: Three wins from nine distance runs, five of six wins on good track. C 1
  MINUS: One win from seven on soft tracks, 28 days break as all wins have been at 21 days or less.    
Noela's Choice PLUS: Distance no issue as has thrre wins at 1500m to 1600m, has won four from eight runs in the wet. D 1.5
  MINUS: Gets back in a slowly run race?    
Quadrella Race# Bendigo 19 March 2016
Bendigo 6 Catanach's Gold Bracelet 1400m
Bendigo 7 Golden Mile 1600m
Bendigo 8 Rich Enuff Bendigo Guineas 1400m
Bendigo 9 Italktravel Bendigo Trophy BM84 1100m
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EXOTICS Catanach's Gold Bracelet 1400m
Exacta

A: 10

B: 1 4 5

Trifecta

A: 10

B: 1 4 5

C: 2 3 4 5

First Four

A: 10

B: 1 4 5

C: 2 3 4 5

D: 2 3 4 5

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