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Bendigo Race 8: Rich Enuff Bendigo Guineas 1400m

18/03/2016: I found this is a troublesome race as you can tell by my margins spread of 1.25 lengths over six runners! In the finish I have to stick with the new boy on the block, Amadeus, to achieve a hat trick even though there is a minor distance concern. At least he will be on the pace and get some sort of rest mid race, which will help. Tivaci didn't really kick on in the Group 1 Australian Guineas but he was wide from the 1000m mark to the home turn and perhaps the distance might have found him out as well. Silent Sedition was honest in her first campaign without setting the world on fire. Her win in a maiden first up this campaign was terrific but the rise in class, even to a three year old race, has found out many maiden winners. The odds need to be about $5 before I get interested. Let Her Rip never saw a skerrick of a gap first up and should have finished near Pasadena Girl, a fairly handy filly. That filly would almost be favourite in this race. El Greco stretched Bon Aurum and Group 1 placegetter Lizard Island last campaign and he will improve second up. Odyssey Moon was wide all the way last start and all things being equal would have won a Group 3 race. You do worry about the poor win strike rate but he has raced against some fierce opposition in about half of those runs in forgivable efforts.

Bendigo Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 17:30, 19/03/2016

RACEMAPRich Enuff Bendigo Guineas 1400m
Front Runners (4) Amadeus, (7) Palace Tycoon, (13) Call Me Curtis.
On Pacers (8) Silent Sedition, (11) Purpussful, (12) Let It Rip.
Mid Fielders (2) El Greco, (3) Invincible Knight, (5) Red Alto, (10) Odyssey Moon, (14) Amadeo.
Get Back (1) Metier, (9) Tivaci.
PACE COMMENTS This looks like a race with a nice even spread of in running positions and the pace should solid enough to afford all runners their chance.
CHANCESRich Enuff Bendigo Guineas 1400mOrderMargin
Amadeus PLUS: Winners keep winning, unbeaten, sired by UK horse so extra distance minimal concern, sits on pace. A 0
  MINUS: Distance concern minor.    
Tivaci PLUS: Three good track wins from six attempts, passable if wet, distance no issue, Palentino form line two runs ago. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back to almost last.    
Silent Sedition PLUS: Strolled in first up. C 0.5
  MINUS: Rise in class from maiden has beaten many at next start.    
Let Her Rip PLUS: Totally blocked last run forgive, excuses for three beaten distance runs, NZ trainer with winning ways. D 0.75
  MINUS: Filly versus males but has weight allowance.    
El Greco PLUS: Bon Aurum Lizard Island form line strong, needed first up run when backed, handles all track conditions. E 1
  MINUS: Gets back and needs luck.    
Odyssey Moon PLUS: Wide all the way last run forgive, poor win statistics but been in tough races. F 1.25
  MINUS: Poor win strike rate but be forgiving on last run as should be Group 3 winner.    
Quadrella Race# Bendigo 19 March 2016
Bendigo 6 Catanach's Gold Bracelet 1400m
Bendigo 7 Golden Mile 1600m
Bendigo 8 Rich Enuff Bendigo Guineas 1400m
Bendigo 9 Italktravel Bendigo Trophy BM84 1100m
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EXOTICS Rich Enuff Bendigo Guineas 1400m
Exacta

A: 2 3 8

B: 1 2 3 8 12 13

Trifecta

A: 2 3 8

B: 1 2 3 8 12 13

C: 1 2 3 8 12 13

First Four

A: 2 3 8

B: 1 2 3 8 12 13

C: 1 2 3 8 12 13

D: 1 2 3 6 7 8 11 12 13 14

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