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Bendigo Race 9: Italktravel Bendigo Trophy BM84 1100m

18/03/2016: Runsati was caught up in traffic last run and just couldn't sprint quickly enough when clear and may have won in another two bounds. The bigger Bendigo track helps him without doubt as opposed to the tighter Moonee Valley circuit. The run by Society Man when first up off 71 days was a terrific run as he was caught wide yet fought tenaciously to hold on. Since then the third horse Fast Cash has won at Sandown. My only concern is the 36 days break. Armada seemed a tad immature in his early runs but showed class with his good run two preparations ago in the Group 3 Zeditave Stakes. Last preparation he notched two wins culminating in a defeat of Fast Cash and Tashbeeh, and that's terrific form. Since Illustrious Lad ran a ripper first up run to Murt The Flirt and Wild Rain his race dates have led me to believe all was not right in subsequent runs. He was given a 50 day break, ran second in a barrier trial and six days later won at Sale, coming from back in the field, with 60kg in a sterling return to the winners list. With the right pace ahead early he will rocket home. I have a gut feel Duibio is going to be one of "those" horses who could be costly due to his get back style but before I axe him too quickly I need to include him today. If the pace is a cracker, and it could be, he will be steaming home with Illustrious Lad.

Bendigo Race 9. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 18:00, 19/03/2016

RACEMAPItalktravel Bendigo Trophy BM84 1100m
Front Runners (7) Ventic.
On Pacers (5) Armada, (9) Society Man, (10) Runsati, (11) Squeaky Squirrel.
Mid Fielders (1) Attract The Magic, (2) I Am The General, (4) Diubio, (8) Bradman, (14) Windjammer, (16) Stratcombe.
Get Back (3) Running Bull, (6) Illustrious Lad, (13) Lucky For You.
PACE COMMENTS On face value Ventic leads but in 1100m sprints one of the on pacers usually surges forward and keeps a leader relatively honest. Of my on pacers it most likely will not be Armada as he already has a prime chance off his good barrier. Overall I suspect the pace will be honest enough to provide the back markers their chance.
CHANCESItalktravel Bendigo Trophy BM84 1100mOrderMargin
Runsati PLUS: Two exact distance wins, four good track win, one soft track run forgivable other two quite passable efforts. A 0
  MINUS: Wide barrier but minor issue from this start.    
Armada PLUS: Fast Cash Tashbeeh form strong for this, two first up wins, track and distance no concern at all. B 0.5
  MINUS: First up if track is wet minor concern    
Society Man PLUS: Fast Cash form line big start, distance no issue, placed seventeen times from nineteen on good tracks. C 1
  MINUS: Concern on damp track off 36 days break.    
Illustrious Lad PLUS: All track conditions suitable and distance no issue, huge first up win. D 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back and needs solid pace.    
Duibio PLUS: Flemington winner, three good track wins, handles wet tracks, has won first up so 35 days break a minor issue. E 1.75
  MINUS: Chronic get back type that always needs solid pace.    
Quadrella Race# Bendigo 19 March 2016
Bendigo 6 Catanach's Gold Bracelet 1400m
Bendigo 7 Golden Mile 1600m
Bendigo 8 Rich Enuff Bendigo Guineas 1400m
Bendigo 9 Italktravel Bendigo Trophy BM84 1100m
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EXOTICS Italktravel Bendigo Trophy BM84 1100m
Exacta

A: 7 9

B: 3 4 7 9 10

Trifecta

A: 7 9

B: 3 4 7 9 10

C: 3 4 7 8 9 10 12

First Four

A: 7 9

B: 3 4 7 9 10

C: 3 4 7 8 9 10 12

D: 3 4 7 8 9 10 12

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