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Caulfield Race 10: Cape Grim Beef Steaks Handicap 1200m

9/10/2015: With the run of the race Wawail can make amends for her luckless first up run when she was totally boxed in for most of the straight behind Politeness. If she had won that race (a real possibility) she would be rated around Politeness so don’t worry about the handicappers ratings. She looks an enormous each way bet at $5.00. I would have thought her price would be around $3.50. I will slot Politeness into the B position purely on class (beaten 1.4 lengths at Group 1 level by Miracles Of Life: Wawail was a length behind her after pulling up lame) and the same goes for the New Zealand Group 1 Railway Stakes winner In Style though her 266 days break is a concern. Bring Me The Maid is excellent first up but she looks more of a wet tracker to me and is just in because of the classy runs she has shown when beaten in tougher races. Danestroem will get a soft lead and he loves this track and distance. She is terrific double figure odds so don’t leave her out of your exotics or as an each way saver.

Caulfield Race 10. RaceTime: AEDT 18:15, 10/10/2015

RACEMAPCape Grim Beef Steaks Handicap 1200m
Front Runners (4) Danestroem.
On Pacers (2) Wawail, (7) Catch That Cat.
Mid Fielders (3) In Style, (5) Ygritte, (9) Exclusive Lass.
Get Back (1) Bring Me The Maid, (6) Tahni Dancer, (8) Soosa Rama, (10) Politeness, (11) Matilija.
PACE COMMENTS Pretty easy race map. Danestroem leads followed by Wawail and Catch That Cat with possibly In Style moving through. That's it for the lead, which in my opinion will make this race a worry for the backmarkers as it includes the favourite Politeness and well fancied first upper Bring Me The Maid. They can win because at the weights they are pitchforked into the race but the $3.0 for Politeness isn't value for a chronic back marker needing pace. Be wary.
CHANCESCape Grim Beef Steaks Handicap 1200mOrderMargin
Wawail PLUS: Four win from eight good track runs, distance not an issue, track winner. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Politeness PLUS: Track and distance winner, three distance wins. B 0.75
  MINUS: Gets back in possibly slowly run race.    
In Style PLUS: New Zealand Group 1 winner, five distance wins, six good track wins. C 1.25
  MINUS: Long break first up.    
Bring Me The Maid PLUS: Two wins from three first up runs, two distance wins. D 1.5
  MINUS: Two wins from four wet track runs, one good track win from nine good track runs.    
Danestroem PLUS: Track and distance specialist, gets soft lead. E 1.75
  MINUS: Three wins on wet tracks from eleven runs but only 3 good track wins from twenty one starts.    
       
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 10 October 2015
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Caulfield 10 Cape Grim Beef Steaks Handicap 1200m
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