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Caulfield Race 4: N.Z. Bloodstock Ethereal Stakes 2000m

16/10/2015: The two favourites in this have a decisive class advantage over the rest of the field which are either maidens or just out of maiden class. Given a level playing field the winner should come from this pair, however, the x-factor is that apart from 1 long-shot runner none of the field has contested a race longer than 1600m. Honesta is put forward as best of the two. Honesta was beaten a nose last time out in a Group 1 event at Randwick, showed a lot of grit last time and looks suited out to the extra journey. She was also narrowly beaten in a Group 2 event the start prior to that motoring home from the tail. Ambience was an easy listed winner at Randwick last time and hails from the in form Godolphin stable. Plenty of upside to this filly as that followed straight after her maiden win and was only her 4th race start. These two form lines are miles above anything else here. The Grey Flash is one for the multiples and ran a much better race at Group 2 level last time at Flemington when racing 2nd up, is a winner her only other run 3rd up and should be around the placings. Alittle Loose caught the eye charging home to win a Ballarat maiden last time and looks to have ability as too does Dawn Of Hope but both face a massive class jump here.

Caulfield Race 4. RaceTime: AEDT 14:35, 17/10/2015

RACEMAPN.Z. Bloodstock Ethereal Stakes 2000m
Front Runners (15) Jezzabba.
On Pacers (4) Dawn Of Hope.
Mid Fielders (11) Street Spun, (3) Princess Aria, (2) Ambience, (10) Zarabeel, (9) Le Grand Cru, (14) Bannatyne.
Get Back (8) Dawnie Perfect, (5) Dulverton, (13) Wichita Woman, (16) Meru, (12) Ashlee Marie, (1) The Grey Flash, (7) Honesta, (6) Alittle Loose (17) Born Magic.
PACE COMMENTS More than half the field engaged here are noted backmarkers and there is very little top end speed in this race at all. Jezzabba is drawn wide and may a little while to get there but looks the most likely leader. Dawn Of Hope is the only other runner engaged with any notable early tactical speed and should get a soft run from gate 4. Race favourite Ambience although listed as a mid field runner may find herself a lot closer in the run per medium of a good gate and lack of speed around her. Race pace here is assessed as only moderate and if that is the case no favours for backmarkers. Fancied runners however should be close enough to the speed.
CHANCESN.Z. Bloodstock Ethereal Stakes 2000mOrderMargin
Honesta PLUS: Just bloused Grp 1 level last time, in form rider, well drawn. A 0
  MINUS: Untried beyond 1600m.    
Ambience PLUS: Easy Listed winner last time, won 2 placed 2 from 4, in form stable. B 0.75
  MINUS: Untried beyond 1600m.    
The Grey Flash PLUS: Much better run this level 2nd up last time, winner at only other 3rd up run. C 3
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1400m.    
Alittle Loose PLUS: Easy maiden winner last time, looks suited this distance. D 3.5
  MINUS: Massive class rise.    
Dawn Of Hope PLUS: Easy maiden winner last time, well drawn. E 4.5
  MINUS: Massive class rise.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 17 October 2015
Caulfield 3 Dilmah Teas Caulfield Sprint 1000m
Caulfield 4 N.Z. Bloodstock Ethereal Stakes 2000m
Caulfield 5 Ladbrokes Caulfield Classic 2000m
Caulfield 6 David Jones Cup 2000m
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