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Caulfield Race 5: Ladbrokes Caulfield Classic 2000m

16/10/2015: Caulfield Guineas runner up Lizard Island looks well placed here to annex his second career win. After being runner up at Listed level at Flemington 3 runs back he won his maiden in effortless fashion at Pakenham before finishing strongly along the rail to grab second prize behind the outstanding colt Press Statement in the Group 1 event. That's a strong form line for a race like this and shapes as the 2000m will suit. Ayres Rock should roll to the lead again and may prove that his last start win at Flemington was no fluke. Has been in good form at Listed level his last two and may give them something to catch again in front in this. Sacred Eye is the only filly engaged here but represents a genuine winning chance. She has won once and runner up twice in 3 career runs to date and finished her race off strongly last time. Bred to relish this distance and expect another bold showing in this. Iron Boss won his maiden at Geelong at his 2nd career start then put in good performance when 5th of 16 jumping to Listed level at Flemington. Improving every run and must be watched. Assertive Star is another at big odds who may sneak into the exotics, yet to be placed at any of his 5 runs but not beaten by big margins and may be suited this longer journey.

Caulfield Race 5. RaceTime: AEDT 15:10, 17/10/2015

RACEMAPLadbrokes Caulfield Classic 2000m
Front Runners (8) Ayers Rock.
On Pacers (5) Eclair Attack.
Mid Fielders (13) Iron Boss, (9) Sacred Eye, (6) Shards, (11) Lizard Island, (1) Tivaci, (12) Alkaashef, (3) Ragnaar.
Get Back (10) Get The Picture, (4) Scadden's Run, (7) Etymology, (2) Assertive Star.
PACE COMMENTS Another race lacking top end speed numbers where only two runners are assessed of having early tactical speed. Ayers Rock especially with Gauci aboard who is skilled front running jockey should adopt the pilot's role in this with Eclair Attack getting into a nice trailing position from a good draw. Early favourites Lizard Island and Sacred Eye will be looking to slot into a mid field running position but a chance one or both may be caught in the 3 wide lane with a number of other runners looking for a similar position. Pace here is assessed as moderate.
CHANCESLadbrokes Caulfield Classic 2000mOrderMargin
Lizard Island PLUS: Runner up Grp 1 Caulfield Guineas, effortless maiden winner prior to that. A 0
  MINUS: Only win in 7 to date was maiden.    
Ayers Rock PLUS: Strong effort to lead throughout last time, good Listed form last two runs. B 1.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Sacred Eye PLUS: Won 1 placed 2 from 3 runs, finished off strongly last time at Flemington. C 1.75
  MINUS: Only filly against males, yet to win past 1300m.    
Iron Boss PLUS: Good run Listed level at Flemington last time, improving with every run. D 2.75
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Assertive Star PLUS: Hasn't been that far away in last 4 city runs, well drawn. E 3.5
  MINUS: Yet to place in 5 career runs.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 17 October 2015
Caulfield 3 Dilmah Teas Caulfield Sprint 1000m
Caulfield 4 N.Z. Bloodstock Ethereal Stakes 2000m
Caulfield 5 Ladbrokes Caulfield Classic 2000m
Caulfield 6 David Jones Cup 2000m
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