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Caulfield Race 6: Ascend Sales Trophies Handicap 2400m

24/07/2015: The huge run, when finally clear, by Heavy last start decrees he’s the top pick for this ordinary event. He was also held up the run prior so the runs were better than they look on paper. Zahspeed’s win at Morphettville was strong and he powered away suggesting the extra distance suits as he rose 550m which was a pre-race issue but not when betting finished as he was heavily backed. It’s About You bogged down on the fence last start so forgive that effort and the run prior he led on the home turn and wobbled all over the place. He will be better suited the Melbourne way of going and at his home track. Gilchrist rose 420m last start and had his problems in the straight finishing just over one length off Heavy but that’s possibly flattering as Heavy should have won. Nevertheless he is another improver worth considering. Monteux is my problem horse as he was held up last start but didn’t really fire as he should have when clear being out sprinted. He has an extra eight hundred metres to travel at only his seventh race start and could just be one run short. Macrobius is the knock out horse taking a line through the Gilchrist Derrymore run and being sired by Irish stallion Dylan Thomas (a top horse) is a plus.

Caulfield Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:00, 25/07/2015

RACEMAPAscend Sales Trophies Handicap 2400m
Front Runners (11) Zahspeed, (13) Arizona River.
On Pacers (14) Esprit De Sol.
Mid Fielders (2) Kaizaen, (3) Macrobius, (4) Fine Evader, (6) Monteux, (7) Startierra, (9) Getyakicks, (10) It's About You, (12) Chasing Liberty, (16) Magnazone.
Get Back (1) Ginali, (9) Mondiale, (15) Gilchrist, (17) Temps Voleur, (18) Cuban Fighter, (19) Heavy.
PACE COMMENTS This is a problematical racemap as the positions are mostly based on distances around 2000m rather than the longer distance today and some runners may defy their normal running pattern. Zahspeed and Arizona Rose will dominate the lead with just Esprit De Sol marked as the only pacer. The early scratchings of designated on pacers Unabashed and London Fog will now see a couple of my mid fielders go forward (I am not sure which ones , of course) so in the final analysis I believe the pace will be fast enough early and the race will be more about distance ability than pace.
CHANCESAscend Sales Trophies Handicap 2400mOrderMargin
Heavy PLUS: D Oliver on board, held up last run strong finish distance would suit, unlucky again two runs ago. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Zahspeed PLUS: Leads almost uncontested?, three from six third up and deeper, 1.5kg claim helpful. B 0.75
  MINUS: Rises 450m slight distance query, easy last win on soft going.    
It's About You PLUS: Bogged down fence last run, two from seven good, three from thirteen career, 2kg claim helpful. C 1
  MINUS: Gets back, slight distance query.    
Gilchrist PLUS: Strong finish last run after being held up distance suits, lightly raced improver, C Williams aboard. D 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Monteux PLUS: Group 3 placed to Sweynesse, held up last run outsprinted. E 2
  MINUS: Gets back, rises 800m first distance attempt.    
Macrobius PLUS: Form through Gilchrist via Derrymore, third up improver off thirty days. F 2.25
  MINUS: Distance query but sired by Irish top horse.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 25 July 2015
Caulfield 6 Ascend Sales Trophies Handicap 2400m
Caulfield 7 Bletchingly Stakes 1200m
Caulfield 8 Gold Heath 2000m
Caulfield 9 The Champagne Pommery Masters Handicap 1800m
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