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Caulfield Race 6: Cannacord Genuity Handicap 1200m

01/05/2015: This race is more open than first seems. Liberation is back in distance after two pipe openers at 1400m. He was beaten 1.1 lengths behind Scissor Kick and Panzer Division in the Group 3 Up And Coming after losing his previous race on protest. The lightly raced favourite, Supido, drawn wide, could blow the field away but is off 31 days and I don't know if the break was due to injury. Durendal, who flopped on a soft 5 last start, has form around the smart Husson Eagle and recent Adelaide winner Eclair Choice. Heza Dude, another failure on soft going last start, stormed home to win comfortably the run before on a good track. I am, however, prepared to risk the two top weights, for a win spot simply on issues of distance (Nordic Empire and Cornrow) however they are still place chances on class alone.

Caulfield Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:00, 02/05/2015

Front Runners (1) Liberation, (6) Cornrow.
On Pacers (4) Secret Blend, (11) Rakitiki, (14) Durendal.
Mid Fielders (7) Nordic Empire, (9) Kalabek, (8) It's About You, (12) Supido.
Get Back (3) Rakitiki, (5) Hezadude.
PACE COMMENTS Originally, before the scratchings of Tudor, Ready To Fight and Definia I had the pace as quite solid but with them out of the equation the chances of Liberation to lead or receive a soft run has magnified. Also, there's a chance Cornrow will be in Adelaide and if so life is even better for Liberation who will simply lead. The lack of pace does make life difficult for Supido, Hezadude and Nordic Empire so be wary where you slot them into your thoughts.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Liberation PLUS: One two distance, 1.1 L beaten Group 3 to Scissor Kick, likely leader or on pace worst, back in distance. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Supido PLUS: Classic lightly raced improver, strong first up win. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back, 31 days break, jury out on distance as only run before spell.    
Durendal PLUS: Eclair Choice formline three runs ago, forgive last run soft 5, one from two distance. C 1
  MINUS: Zero from five good track, one win seven career runs.    
Heza Dude PLUS: Wide last run forgive, two wins five distance five from five placed, six from six placed good tracks. D 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back to near last needs luck.    
RISKY Secret Blend (very poor last run, off 28 days indicates fitness issue), It's About You (zero from three first up, 1200m first up tough on that basis).
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