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Caulfield Race 6: Catanach's Jewellers Handicap 1800m

25/03/2016: Although Ilovewhatsebrings only won by a short margin on paper the run was quite impressive as he was held up for a run in the straight. When clear he zoomed up to gain victory with authority. The extra two hundred metres will not be an issue on that effort. It's best to forget Himalaya Dream raced last start as it was one of those totally unexplainable runs that can happen in the racing world. His strong win over a reasonable horse, Maurus, in Sydney, when heavily backed at good odds, is the race we should use as a guide for this race. Hollywood Bound is another who had a "forgive the last start" excuse because the run, when compared to the previous effort, was out of character. Gingerboy was first up when winning the 1400m Mildura Cup: a terrific effort for a maiden winner over the hurdles! You can suggest he might be flat after such a first up effort but then again he might not so in he goes. Crimson Cape might just get the soft lead of the race and it is worth noting he is unbeaten third up. Master Zephyr will win races this campaign but whether it's today I am not sure but he is too good a prospect at this level to leave out.

Caulfield Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEDT 15:30, 26/03/2016

RACEMAPCatanach's Jewellers Handicap 1800m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (6) Crimson Cape, (7) Gingerboy, (12) Himalaya Dream.
Mid Fielders (1) Master Zephyr, (5) Ilovewhatsebrings, (9) Abbasso, (11) Westsouthwest.
Get Back (2) Arch Fire, (3) Houdini The Great, (4) Hollywood Bound, (8) Ungrateful Ellen, (10) Trade Commissioner, (13) Collaboration.
PACE COMMENTS With no real leader we have one of those race maps where the on pacers become the leaders which is often a concern to the back markers. I suspect Crimson Cape will lead with Himalaya Dream lobbing close by and Gingerboy not far away. I believe the pace will solid enough to suit my on pacers but leave out the back markers as when the sprint comes into the race they will struggle to keep up.
CHANCESCatanach's Jewellers Handicap 1800mOrderMargin
Ilovewhatsebrings PLUS: Top run last start, three good track wins, distance should be fine, trainer does well when visiting Victoria. A 0
  MINUS: At worst can miss kick but minimal negative here.    
Himalaya Dream PLUS: Could lead. Heavily backed two runs ago, forgive last run too bad to be true, three good track wins, distance perfect. B 0.5
  MINUS: Last run frightens but ???    
Gingerboy PLUS: Has won eight races on good tracks, distance won't be an issue, 2kg claim useful. C 0.75
  MINUS: Plus 400 metres second up.    
Crimson Cape PLUS: Can get soft lead, two wins from two third up runs, yet to place from seven fresh runs, three good track wins. D 1.25
  MINUS: Two quite ordinary fresh runs.    
Master Zephyr PLUS: Three good track wins, distance not an issue, has won second up, 2kg claim helps. E 1.5
  MINUS: First up run flat whereas when winning second up previously had good firat up run.    
       
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 26 March 2016
Caulfield 6 Catanach's Jewellers Handicap 1800m
Caulfield 7 Victoria Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 8 Le Pine Funerals Easter Cup 2000m
Caulfield 9 Noel Rundle Handicap 2000m
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EXOTICS Catanach's Jewellers Handicap 1800m
Exacta

A: 2 5 11 12

B: 1 2 5 11 12

Trifecta

A: 2 5 11 12

B: 1 2 5 11 12

C: 1 2 5 6 11 12

First Four

A: 2 5 11 12

B: 1 2 5 11 12

C: 1 2 5 6 11 12

D: 1 2 5 6 10 11 12

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