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Caulfield Race 6: Caulfield Guineas Prelude 1400m

25/09/2015: Sometimes you wonder about horses who are often unlucky and Ready For Victory certainly fits that bill this time in and today is the day he has to shake the tag of a horse with huge promise who seldom delivers. Surely he cannot be unlucky again hence I am slotting him on top as he certainly has the class to deliver the goods. Speaking about unlucky horses and my forgiving nature finds me selecting Oddysey Moon as my runner up. This horse has been wide all the way both runs this time in and taking a line through his Sydney runs last preparation he also has the class necessary to win this race. Bon Aurum was three wide all the way last start in a very strong run and there is nothing to suggest a repeat victory isn’t a strong possibility. Tulsa was held up for at least half the Flemington straight but when finally a run was secured he went whoosh and would have undoubtedly placed to Bon Aurum if the race went another twenty metres. Unfortunately he has drawn a horror barrier, again. Metallic Crown can lead all the way as he is the classic improver who hasn't necessarily beaten anything of note but is winning with style and the J Cassidy C Waller combination is worth following.

Caulfield Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:25, 26/09/2015

RACEMAPCaulfield Guineas Prelude 1400m
Front Runners (11) Dark Steel, (15) Metallic Crown.
On Pacers (4) Mr Individual, (6) Snoopy, (7) Last Bullet, (8) Moher, (12) Bon Aurum, (14) Odyssey Moon.
Mid Fielders (2) Dal Cielo, (3) Extra Choice, (9) Ready For Victory, (10) Strike Force, (13) Spieth.
Get Back (1) Manhattan Blues, (5) Puritan, (16) Tulsa.
PACE COMMENTS I don't see any major worries about pace in this race. My two leaders could easily have company as I have six on pacers. The issue with Oddysey Moon and Bon Aurum is they are drawn wide and their jockeys will need to surge forward early or they risk being caught wide. At the same time those inside of this duo will be using their good draws to advantage. In other words there will action early.
CHANCESCaulfield Guineas Prelude 1400mOrderMargin
Ready For Victory PLUS: Huge Golden Slipper defeat, wide both runs this campaign, D Oliver stays on board. A 0
  MINUS: Developing unlucky horse profile, distance no issue, trained on track.    
Odyssey Moon PLUS: Beaten 2.2 lengths Golden Slipper when three wide, second AJC Sires Group 1, wide both runs this campaign. B 0.5
  MINUS: D Oliver rode last start, wide barrier minor concern.    
Bon Aurum PLUS: Two wins from five race starts, winner at distance, wide all way last run but still won, another improver. C 0.75
  MINUS: Drawn wide for on pacer, class rise.    
Tulsa PLUS: Spelled after first race start, easy winner first up, huge run last start when finally got clear. D 1.25
  MINUS: Wide barrier forces get back position.    
Snoopy PLUS: Three wins from four starts, two wins from three runs good tracks, forgive run last start when badly checked. E 1.75
  MINUS: Rise in class from wins.    
Metallic Crown PLUS: Two wins from four race starts, can lead, unbeaten at the distance, classic lightly raced improver. F 2.25
  MINUS: Class rise from weaker Group 3 event.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 26 September 2015
Caulfield 6 Caulfield Guineas Prelude 1400m
Caulfield 7 Hyland Colours Underwood Stakes 1800m
Caulfield 8 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 9 Cup Club Handicap 1700m
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