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Caulfield Race 6: Hockingstuart Handicap 1400m

28/08/2015: It’s difficult to go past Charmed Harmony who emulates the classic winners keep winning theory to a T. Zebrinz had a luckless run last start zigzagging in the straight after being held up. It was a forgive run. Pressing's two wins from three track runs (he was badly held up his other track run last start) gives him his chance. It’s worth noting he finished just behind Almalad and Brazen Beau in the Group 1 JJ Atkins on a good track. If the pace is on he features as a winning chance for sure. Awesome Rock has the task of tackling 1400m first up however he does run well first up as evidenced by his close defeat by Chivalry and Nordic Duke, albeit over 1200m. He Or She will get back and needs the pace on early. Her WA record is excellent and just on that record must be considered as her first Melbourne run, when held up a fraction, was good. Jacquinot Bay is a bulldog when fit and if he gets the breaks with a soft run don’t be surprised to see him run a top race at good odds.

Caulfield Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:25, 29/08/2015

RACEMAPHockingstuart Handicap 1400m
Front Runners (1) Charmed Harmony.
On Pacers (9) Jacquinot Bay.
Mid Fielders (5) Awesome Rock(8) Trevieres, (11) Zebrinz, (12) Sysmo, (15) Genuine Lad, (17) Moonovermanhattan, (18) Stratum Star.
Get Back (3) Amralah, (4) Desert Jeuney, (6) Sir Andrew, (7) He Or She, (10 Pressing, (13) Tall Ship, (14) Scream Machine, (16) Rhythm To Spare.
PACE COMMENTS There's little doubt Charmed Harmony will lead (he may lead the Memsie Stakes field if he runs in that race) and in the process will dictate the pace. I expect Jacquinot Bay, often a leader, to apply some pressure but I wouldn’t expect it would be ferocious as he is first up. Basically, if Charmed Harmony runs in this race I would be worried about backing any horse who is a mid fielder or gets back unless I thought the odds were worth the risk. If Charmed Harmony doesn't run Jacquinot Bay will lead but will be vulnerable first up thus I would be suggesting the mid fielders and get back types will have their chance.
CHANCESHockingstuart Handicap 1400mOrderMargin
Charmed Harmony PLUS: Six from ten distance, ten from twenty four career, five from twelve good tracks, leads. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Pressing PLUS: Two from three track, two from two soft, beaten 1.3 lengths Group 1 Brisbane to Brazen Beau. B 0.75
  MINUS: Gets back, needs pace.    
Zebrinz PLUS: Two from four distance, one from two track, three good from ten, checquered run first up forgive. C 1.25
  MINUS: Needs luck from barrier but all else good.    
Awesome Rock PLUS: Close first up to Chivalry, Nordic Empire, respectable beaten margins good three year old races. D 1.5
  MINUS: First up this distance.    
He Or She PLUS: One from two distance, seven good track wins in WA, first up winner, seven from ten career. E 1.75
  MINUS: Seventy seven days break, gets right back needing pace.    
Jacquinot Bay PLUS: Two from four first up, two from five distance, eight good track wins, gets top run off leader. F 2.25
  MINUS: First up distance as eight year old.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 29 August 2015
Caulfield 6 Hockingstuart Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 7 William Hill Sprint Series Heat 1 1200m
Caulfield 8 Memsie Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 9 Heatherlie Stakes 1700m
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