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Caulfield Race 6: Hyland Colours Autumn Stakes 1400m

12/02/2016: For mine this is a match race between two top class three year olds in Mahuta and Holler. Mahuta's win at the Magic Millions 3yo Guineas from barrier fifteen and off a 56 day break was an outstanding effort. You can question the class of the place getters but not the run. Holler beat Churchill Dancer quite comfortably in the Group 2 Australia Stakes when off a 91 days break so commonsense suggests he will be fitter for the run. Last preparation Holler and Mahuta met in the Gothic Stakes, over this track and distance, and on the line there was 0.3 of a length between them, with Mahuta the victor. I am opting for the same result in this race but it's a tossup selection. I think the only danger is Snoopy (well, not really) who has form through Dal Cielo who ran second to Mahuta in the Sandown Guineas. On that form line he reads well for third spot. I am risking Tarzino as he has bigger fish to fry and I suspect will need this run.

Caulfield Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:00, 13/02/2016

RACEMAPHyland Colours Autumn Stakes 1400m
Front Runners (2) Sailing By, (9) Holler.
On Pacers (1) Mahuta, (3) Hardern, (12) Snoopy.
Mid Fielders (6) Extra Choice, (7) Solar Impulse, (11) Rageese.
Get Back (4) Vanbrugh, (5) Devil Hawk, (8) Tarzino, (10) Celtic Tiger.
PACE COMMENTS From barrier two I expect Sailing By to boot through and lead and from out wide I cannot see why Holler won't be sitting on his outside. Mahuta should take a sit with Hardern while Snoopy will edge closer trying to slot in. All told the pace will be solid enough, but not run at a frantic speed, for the classy back markers Tarzino and Vanbrugh to run on strongly and figure in the exotics for the BCD positions at best.
CHANCESHyland Colours Autumn Stakes 1400mOrderMargin
Mahuta PLUS: Three wins from three distance runs, four wins on good tracks, perfect draw off pace. A 0
  MINUS: 35 days break minor concern.    
Holler PLUS: Group 2 wfa winner, track conditions suitable, improver this campaign from top stable. B 0.5
  MINUS: Minimal concern at distance based on Gothic Stakes run when every chance.    
Snoopy PLUS: Distance winner, excellent track run to Bon Aurum, two good track wins, easy win first up virtually a track gallop. C 2
  MINUS: Class rise against two top liners.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 13 February 2016
Caulfield 6 Hyland Colours Autumn Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 7 C.F. Orr Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 8 The Cup Club T.S. Carlyon Cup 1600m
Caulfield 9 Bellmaine Stakes 1200m
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EXOTICS Hyland Colours Autumn Stakes 1400m
Exacta

A: 1

B: 4

Trifecta

A: 1

B: 4

C: 9

First Four

A: 1

B: 4

C: 9

D: 2 3 5 6 8 12

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