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Caulfield Race 6: Ladbrokes BM90 Handicap 1400m

1/07/2016: This is the easiest race that Ulmann's contested for some time and the stable switch to the Weir yard could be a plus as they invariable run well at their first start for Darren. Draws well here and has been Group 3 placed. If ready should take plenty of beating. Duke Of Brunswick is very consistent and gets his chance here to gone better than last two runs when runner up on both occasions. Goes well this track and drawn to advantage. Huge threat. Sadaqa could be the value runner and is proven this level. Has won 1st up in the past and has also won here. Drops in grade on last 3 efforts and is a big watch here at good odds. The New Boy has never been one of my favourites but has been racing well in recent times and was hampered last start at Flemington when unplaced. Normally always around the money and is a must for the Exotics. Running Bull rises in grade from last start Pakenham win but is a multiple city winner and from very astute stable. Right in this on best form. Royal Island comes off good last start 2nd in strong country sprint at Swan Hill, generally needs it wet to produce best but draws well and shouldn't be too far away.

Caulfield Race 6. Track Condition: SOFT (6). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 14:45, 02/07/2016

RACEMAPLadbrokes BM90 Handicap 1400m
Front Runners (7) The New Boy.
On Pacers (1) Duke Of Brunswick, (5) Vizhaka, (8) Sadaqa, (10) Cellarmaster, (11) Great Esteem, (15) Gracious Prospect.
Mid Fielders (2) Royal Island, (3) Live For Today, (9) Something To Share, (12) Running Bull.
Get Back (6) Bradman, (7) Ulmann, (13) Sir Berus, (14) Marwood.
PACE COMMENTS In previous campaigns if The New Boy was entered you would immediately slot him in as a leader but for some reason he hasn’t been leading recently. I am going to make him the leader again but if the stable decide to drop back a fraction there is a wall of contenders I have rated as on pacers who could go forward. However, some of the on pacers are not consistent in that role so there is some doubt about what is going to happen in this event. Just the same I am going to suggest the pace, regardless of who leads, should be solid enough for even a get back type like Bradman to be a chance. Just bet and don’t worry about the pace.
CHANCESLadbrokes BM90 Handicap 1400mOrderMargin
Ulmann PLUS: Drops in grade, Grp 3 placed, has won 1st up, well drawn. A 0
  MINUS: Unplaced all 3 runs this track.    
Duke Of Brunswick PLUS: Goes well this track, drops in grade, well drawn. B 0.75
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 7 this distance.    
Sadaqa PLUS: Goes well at distance, winner this track, drops in grade, has won 1st up. C 1.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
The New Boy PLUS: Excuses last run, form prior was good, never far away. D 2.25
  MINUS: Poor win strike rate.    
Running Bull PLUS: Goes well this distance, last start winner lesser grade, good strike rates. E 2.75
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Royal Island PLUS: Goes well at distance, good effort when 2nd last time in good field, well drawn. F 3.50
  MINUS: Generally needs it wet to produce best.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 2 July 2016
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EXOTICS Ladbrokes BM90 Handicap 1400m
Exacta

A: 4 6 7 8

B: 4 6 7 8

Trifecta

A: 4 6 7 8 10

B: 4 6 7 8 10

C: 4 6 7 8 10

First Four

A: 4 6 8

B: 4 6 7 8

C: 4 6 7 8 10

D: 3 4 6 7 8 10

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