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Caulfield Race 6: Peter Young Stakes 1800m

27/02/2015: With the sensible pace expected I believe Protectionist has a golden opportunity to sit off the pace and exert his class upon straightening. Au Revoir has the same chance as Protectionist in the run and if he is more forward in condition he certainly represents the main danger to the Melbourne Cup winner. Happy Trails is just an amazing horse who keeps fronting up at the top level (beaten 0.7 lengths in the Cox Plate to Adelaide) and with one strong run under his belt I wouldn’t be dismissing his chances too quickly. Mourinho took the next step in his career last start when a fighting third to Dissident and a win here, with fitness on his side, would not surprise. Lidari, Beaten Up, Jacquinot Bay, Spillway and Real Love are place chances for the exotics.

Caulfield Race 6. RaceTime: AEDT 16:35, 28/02/2015

Front Runners (1) Lidari, (6) Mourinho, (13) Real Love
On Pacers (10) Jacquinot Bay, (11) Au Revoir, (12) Star Rolling.
Mid Fielders (2) Akzar, (4) Beaten Up, (5) Sonntag, (7) Protectionist, (8) Happy Trails.
Get Back (3) Bagman, (9) Spillway.
PACE COMMENTS I am expecting Lidari to go forward on his home track with Mourinho kicking up and Real Love coming over from her wide barrier. Beaten Up sometimes goes forward and sometimes not so don’t be surprised to see him up there but I have him listed as a mid fielder. The speed early will suit the on pacers best but unless they go mad out in front I expect the back markers Bagman and Spillway will find it difficult winning.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Protectionist PLUS: Five from ten career, six quinella runs from ten, Melbourne Cup winner. A 0
  MINUS: Fitness query.    
Au Revoir PLUS: Three from nine good, P Moody at Caulfield. B 0.25
  MINUS: Yet to win fresh from seven runs, all wins at 2400m or longer.    
Happy Trails PLUS: Six good track winners, Group 1 horse, fifteen of thirty two quinella good tracks. C 0.5
  MINUS: One win from nine track, gets back.    
Mourinho PLUS: Improver, races on pace, seven good track wins. D 2
  MINUS: Wfa big test this distance.    
RISKY Bagman (place at best), Akzar (better in handicap), Sonntag (will need run this level), Star Rolling (not showing zest).
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 28 February 2015
Caulfield 8 Blue Diamond Stakes 1200m
Caulfield 6 Peter Young Stakes 1800m
Caulfield 7 Oakleigh Plate 1100m
Caulfield 9 Mypunter Cup Prelude 2000m
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