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Caulfield Race 6: Schweppes Rubiton Stakes 1100m

13/02/2015: There’s no doubt Chautauqua goes on top and it’s really only the usual first up concerns about any horse and his first Caulfield run that causes any doubts. With only one turn, and that’s into the straight, you would think the track wouldn’t be too much of an issue and he is certainly the weight special via the handicapper’s ratings. The danger is the well credentialed Atmospherical with an unbeaten four runs at the distance and her only defeat first up was on a heavy track. She also maps well sitting off the pace. Richie’s Vibe will get back, as usual, and will let loose just prior to the home turn and whether he makes it simply depends on those in front collapsing. Eloping would be a better chance if she didn’t have company for the lead but with just 52.5kg and the inside barrier I imagine S Baster will try and burn those around her off at some stage of the race. Place chances to Missy Longstocking (unbeaten second up but in weaker class) and Flamberge (getting tough to follow but goes well fresh).

Caulfield Race 6. RaceTime: AEDT 16:35, 14/02/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (1) Eloping, (2) Sumakaray, (6) Flamberge, (9) Oakleigh Girl.
On Pacers (5) Atmospherical.
Mid Fielders (3) Chautauqua, (4) Amatheon, (8) Missy Longstockings, (10) The Thief.
Get Back (7) Richie's Vibe.
PACE COMMENTS There’s plenty of pace as my four front runners will carve out slick sectionals early which will suit the hot favourite Chautauqua perfectly and for that matter even Richie’s Vibe, the sole backmarker.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Chautauqua PLUS: Four from ten wins, eight times in quinella, four from eight good tracks, two from three first up. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Atmospherical PLUS: Four from four distance, five from eight good tracks, two from three first up. B 1.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Richie's Vibe PLUS: Five wins fifteen runs, Group 2 wfa winner, well weighted. C 2
  MINUS: Gets back, zero wins six track runs.    
Eloping PLUS: Two from three track, races near lead, weight allowance filly versus males helpful. D 2.25
  MINUS: First up stronger class than previously.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED Amaethon, The Thief, Sumakaray, Oakleigh Girl.
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 14 February 2015
Caulfield 6 Schweppes Rubiton Stakes 1100m
Caulfield 7 Hyland Colours Autumn Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 8 Sportingbet C.F. Orr Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 9 Geoffrey Bellmaine Stakes 1200m
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