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Caulfield Race 6: Timothy Rourke Handicap 1400m

08/01/2016: Luck in running and the pace is going to decide this race as there is almost nothing between my top four chances. I reluctantly left out Devilishly, Egypt and Miss Clooney, and have selected Giggly ahead of Single Note, who beat her two runs ago - simply based on natural improvement. Majestic Lass seemed a little unlucky in the final fifty metres last start but perhaps it was the class rise that had her in an awkward position. Another toss up situation with her, I am afraid. Jacqui's Joy has the job ahead - see my race map comments - but after having a peek at the prices her odds are quite reasonable if you want to take a chance on her achieving the treble.

Caulfield Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 15:42, 09/01/2016

RACEMAPTimothy Rourke Handicap 1400m
Front Runners (5) Single Note, (7) Giggly.
On Pacers (8) Drawn To You.
Mid Fielders (1) Egypt, (2) Charlie's Dream, (4) Majestic Lass, (9) Devilishly.
Get Back (3) Jacqui's Joy, (6) Stylemaker, (10) Miss Clooney, (11) Under Fire.
PACE COMMENTS With only three runners considered as leaders and on pacers it is difficult to think the pace will be solid hence I am a little tentative about the chances of the form contenders Jacqui's Joy and Miss Clooney. With the rise in distance horses like Devilishly and Majestic Lass could find it easier to move forward. It's one of those race map races where what is expected from mid fielders might be better than first thought. Nevertheless be wary about the backmarkers: they have the job ahead.
CHANCESTimothy Rourke Handicap 1400mOrderMargin
Giggly PLUS: Absolutely strolled in last start, improver, on pacer at worst in running position. A 0
  MINUS: Class rise from maiden has beaten many horses.    
Single Note PLUS: Defeated Giggly two runs ago in maiden, quinella efforts both good track runs, another lightly raced runner. B 0.25
  MINUS: Class rise last start flop but was held up in last 50 metres so jury is out.    
Majestic Lass PLUS: Good track winner, Peter Moody this track always a plus, sits off pace possibly leading, missed start last run C 0.5
  MINUS: Race map concern as early pace might not help, last win on soft track versus good today.    
Jacqui's Joy PLUS: Track and distance winner, 1.5kg claim real bonus, heading for hat trick of wins, the classic improver. D 1
  MINUS: Race map concern as early pace might not help, last win on soft track versus good today.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 9 January 2016
Caulfield 6 Timothy Rourke Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 7 Ewen Stafford Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 8 Billie Swan Handicap 1200m
Caulfield 9 Swettenham Stud Championship 1600m
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EXOTICS Timothy Rourke Handicap 1400m
Exacta

A: 3 9

B: 1 3 4 9

Trifecta

A: 3 9

B: 1 3 4 9

C: 1 2 3 4 7 8 9

First Four

A: 3 9

B: 1 3 4 9

C: 1 2 3 4 7 8 9

D: 1 2 3 4 7 8 9

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