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Caulfield Race 7: Cape Grim Beef BM78 1800m

25/12/2015: Lightly raced 4yo Warrior King has to overcome both a class and distance rise but has won 3 from only 5 career starts to date and looks a progressive type able to cope with the obstacles this event places in front of him. Warrior King has drawn favourably in this big field and should travel in the first half dozen or so throughout. Unbeaten at his only other 2nd up and looks extremely hard to beat in this. Allergic was pretty ordinary 1st up last time but has shown in the past he can improve many lengths when produced 2nd up. Has won up to 2060m and should get a nice cover up carry along from the inside gate. Definite danger if can be produced at the right time in the straight. Golden Mane was a strong winner this class last time out at the Ranvet Handicap at Moonee Valley and has shown in the past the ability to hold winning form. Could be giving his rivals a tidy start if predicted race map pans out but should be hitting the line strongly. Belorum is yet to win past 1500m but has raced well this track in the past and rates an each way chance if things go his way. Leica Day has won 2 from past 3 and is from the powerful Weir yard and although rising in grade must be respected on current form.

Caulfield Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:05, 26/12/2015

RACEMAPCape Grim Beef BM78 1800m
Front Runners (2) Use The Lot.
On Pacers (3) Entre Nous, (4) Alrouz.
Mid Fielders (15) Sir Berus, (17) Firehouse Rock, (14) Seul Spirit, (9) Vintage Lad, (11) Aggregator, (1) Allergic, (16) Leica Day, (6) Warrior King.
Get Back (13) Winstone Drive, (10) Belorum, (8) Got You Double, (5) Golden Mane, (19) Tucanchoo, (7) Bring Back, (20) Elmantosh, (12) Winter Chiller.
PACE COMMENTS Not a great deal of top end speed here at all given the size of the field. Use The Lot is a natural leader and should have little trouble holding that position from gate 2. The only other runners with noted early tactical speed are Entre Nous and Alrouz which are both unfancied in the market place. Race favourite Warrior King draws well and although categorized as a mid field runner, due to the lack of pace numbers, will probably find himself racing more forward than anticipated. Other Fancy Golden Mane will be rearward and might not be suited by what might only be a moderate race tempo.
CHANCESCape Grim Beef BM78 1800mOrderMargin
Warrior King PLUS: Won 3 placed 1 from 5, placed up to 2000m, well drawn, winner only other 2nd up run. A 0
  MINUS: 500m distance increase, rises in grade.    
Allergic PLUS: Won 3 placed 4 from 12, winner up to 2060m, goes ok 2nd up, well drawn. B 1
  MINUS: Only beat 1 home at return run last time.    
Golden Mane PLUS: Won 5 from 19, strong winner Moonee Valley last time, holds winning form, well drawn. C 1.25
  MINUS: Can get a fair way back.    
Belorum PLUS: Placed twice in 4 runs this track, from the Weir yard, drops in grade. D 3
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1500m.    
Leica Day PLUS: Won 2 from past 3 runs, won 4 from 10, Weir trained. E 3.5
  MINUS: Drawn very wide, unplaced only run this track.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 26 December 2015
Caulfield 7 Cape Grim Beef BM78 1800m
Caulfield 8 The Cup Club Christmas Stakes 1200m
Caulfield 9 Swettenham Stud Lord Stakes 1700m
Caulfield 10 Swettenham Stud Championship BM84 1400m
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EXOTICS Cape Grim Beef BM78 1800m
Exacta

A: 1 8 10

B: 1 8 10 11

Trifecta

A: 1 8 10 11

B: 1 8 10 11 18

C: 1 8 10 11 18

First Four

A: 1 8 10

B: 1 8 10 11

C: 1 8 10 11 18

D: 1 8 10 11 18

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