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Caulfield Race 7: C.F. Orr Stakes 1400m

12/02/2016: This would have to be the toughest C.F. Orr Stakes I have ever seen. Initially I had eight main contenders but some pruning with a punting scalpel has me dropping Fawkner (pace, age, first up this distance, ordinary barrier draw), Rising Romance (first up mare versus males, wide barrier, distance) and Stratum Star (first up this class, wide barrier). By the way if any of the trio won it would not surprise. Eventually I have selected Lucky Hussler because he stars at this track and although he has two wins at the track it should be four based on being a good thing beaten in the Group 1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes. He just gets the nod ahead of Boban who is just one of those amazing horses who can do anything. As per his Group 1 Doomben 10000 and Group 1 Memsie Stakes victories he is first up and is obviously set for a hat trick of first up wins. Entirely Platinum runs some terrific races at this level and if he is not attacked by Turn Me Loose he may get a soft enough run to fight out the finish. Mourinho is one of those freak horses who just keeps surprising and why not again for this course and distance winner? He uncharacteristically missed the start first up and all told it was a huge run. The mare Suavito will receive a cosy run off the pace and has to be considered on her Group 1 Futurity Stakes win though beating my old nemesis Smokin' Joey is form that can be questioned.

Caulfield Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:30, 13/02/2016

RACEMAPC.F. Orr Stakes 1400m
Front Runners (9) Entirely Platinum, (10) Turn Me Loose, (15) Trust In A Gust.
On Pacers (1) Suavito, (7)Mourinho, (14) Stratum Star, (18) Hucklebuck.
Mid Fielders (1) Fenway, (2) Bow Creek, (4) Rebel Dane, (5) Messene, (8) Lucky Hussler, (12) Fawkner, (13) Boban.
Get Back (6) Red Bomber, (11) Happy Trails, (16) Rising Romance, (17) Awesome Rock.
PACE COMMENTS I expect there will be action early as Entirely Platinum strolls forward with Turn Me Loose also attacking for the lead. Trust In A Gust needs to go forward quickly early otherwise he could be caught wide. This leaves my on pacers just jostling for a position off the trio ahead. The first two hundred metres has the action but from there, until the five hundred metres, the leaders will drop anchor and make the race a sprint home. Normally I would suggest the mid fielders and back markers would have the task ahead of them as per my pace scenario but as most of the field are first up fitness levels are essentially unknown and my trio leading the field could capitulate quite quickly or keep going. I don't really know hence I am suggesting we give all the class runners a chance and forget pace issues.
CHANCESC.F. Orr Stakes 1400mOrderMargin
Lucky Hussler PLUS: Track specialist, three distance wins and track conditions no issue with seven wins. A 0
  MINUS: Sits mid field and needs a run.    
Boban PLUS: Three wins first up with two at Group One, two wins at track and distance. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back in a field.    
Entirely Platinum PLUS: Likely leader, four distance wins, terrific this track without winning. C 0.5
  MINUS: Just finds it difficult this level but really tries.    
Mourinho PLUS: Three track wins, ten wins on good tracks, will get soft run off pace, Group 1 winner who keeps surprising. D 1.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Suavito PLUS: Three track and distance wins from five wins including a Group One, six good track wins, will race off pace. E 2
  MINUS: Mare versus males first up at tough level.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 13 February 2016
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EXOTICS C.F. Orr Stakes 1400m
Exacta

A: 3 4

B: 3 4 6 12 17

Trifecta

A: 3 4

B: 3 4 6 12 17

C: 1 3 4 6 10 12 16 17

First Four

A: 3 4

B: 3 4 6 12 17

C: 1 3 4 6 10 12 16 17

D: 1 3 4 6 10 12 16 17

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