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Caulfield Race 7: Easter Cup 2000m

03/04/2015: This is the race for The Cleaner to lose, basically, as he leads plus has a massive class drop from his excellent second up run in the Group 1 wfa Australian Cup. His jockey knows exactly when to push The Cleaner and I suspect it is really game on from the six hundred metre mark. Sertorius gets his chance to record his third victory at Caulfield as he is in a race where everything is in his favour bar The Cleaner’s ability to run horses ragged. His second to Suavito, my each way bet in the Doncaster, was excellent. Marksmanship worked early from his wide barrier at Bendigo and that run showed second up he could be an improver. He is unlucky to have run into The Cleaner and Sertorius but win he can. Backbone won third up last preparation over this distance beating the handy South Australian Eclair Samba and although his two runs this time in haven’t been world beaters he was beaten 11.7 lengths second up last preparation! Respect the Dean Yendall Darren Weir combination, especially at $34. Place chances to Jacquinot Bay, Shoreham, Epingle, Escado, Sabor A Triunto and Post D’France for the trifecta, first four bettors.

Caulfield Race 7. RaceTime: AEDT 16:10, 04/04/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (3) The Cleaner.
On Pacers (2) Marksmanship, (9) Jacquinot Bay.
Mid Fielders (1) Backbone, (4) Sertorius, (5) Our Voodoo prince, (6) Shoreham, (8) Post D'France, (11) Sabor A Triunfo.
Get Back (2) Epingle, (7) Zabeelionaire, (10) Escado, (12) Epingle, (13) Ancient King.
PACE COMMENTS It’s $1.01 that The Cleaner leads and that’s overs! Jacquinot Bay and Marksmanship will head the pack of mid fielders in a race guaranteed to have pace. The mid fielders will get their chance if Jacquinot Bay and Marksmanship find it difficult carting up the field AND chasing The Cleaner.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
The Cleaner PLUS: Freak front runner, massive class drop from last run. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Sertorius PLUS: Quinella four from six track, significant class drop from recent races. B 0.5
  MINUS: One from six distance minimal issue.    
Backbone PLUS: Third up win last campaign, one from two track and distance, three wins five distance runs. C 2.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Marksmanship PLUS: Two from five distance, one from one track and distance. D 2.5
  MINUS: One win from eight fresh, zero from nine good tracks.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Ancient King (ordinary first up), Zabeelionaire (doesn't win, jumps campaign looming?).
OUTCLASSED Nil.
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 4 April 2015
Caulfield 6 Theshark.com.au BM90 1100m
Caulfield 7 Easter Cup 2000m
Caulfield 8 Victoria Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 9 Noel Rundle Handicap 1400m
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