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Caulfield Race 7: Ewen Stafford Handicap 1400m

08/01/2016: What an awful race. I cannot have Fast Approaching on top as finishing ahead of Marrakesh is an ordinary form line after that horse was beaten on Wednesday in what I thought was a fairly weak effort. In the finish I am asking jockey Darren Gauci to provide one of his most challenging assignments in thirty plus years of riding and that's to get The New Boy to win a race at Caulfield!! Then, as if the prior ask wasn't enough, I am asking master trainer Peter Moody, especially at Caulfield, to get Koroibeite to win first up off a massive 290 day break, something he hasn't done in four attempts. In all fairness though he is a bit more of a miler to 2000m horse and the first up runs have been at 1200m or in tough company, such as behind Dissident in the Hobartville Stakes. I just wish the break was closer to 120-150 days but at least the odds are good. Boy, I am desperate and have slotted Bel Rhythm into fourth position simply on his one start one win at the track. Ugh!!

Caulfield Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:22, 09/01/2016

RACEMAPEwen Stafford Handicap 1400m
Front Runners (10) The New Boy.
On Pacers (1) Baby Don't Cry, (2) Rose Of Texas, (3) Fast Approaching, (4) Oltre Finito.
Mid Fielders (5) Bel Rhythm, (6) Tuff Host.
Get Back (7) Winter Palace, (8) Wales, (9) Koroibete, (11) King Buddy.
PACE COMMENTS This one of those weird races where I don't have a consistent front runner but with five on pacers ready to take up the batting in the lead I don't really see pace a major issue early in the race. Once they hit the straight the jogging will come into play until about the 600 metre mark where the sprint home will start. Sometimes in these distance races paces plays a huge part and in others it's the distance while some are a combination. For this race just forget about pace and concentrate on the distance issue. I think it is the most important part of the race.
CHANCESEwen Stafford Handicap 1400mOrderMargin
The New Boy PLUS: Likely lone leader, D Gauci stars on front runners, no issue with distance or track conditions. A 0
  MINUS: Zero wins from twelve track runs.    
Koroibete PLUS: Has Group 3 first up defeat by 3.2 lengths to Dissident, has won 3 races from ten good track runs, 1.5kg claim huge help. B 0.5
  MINUS: No first up wins but possible excuses.    
Fast Approaching PLUS: Track and distance winner when leading all the way, track conditions fine. C 1
  MINUS: Marrakesh formline not inspiring.    
Bel Rhythm PLUS: Track and distance winner, won five good track races, sits mid field but at win here was closer. D 1.5
  MINUS: Eight year old, 37 days break carrying 60kg.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 9 January 2016
Caulfield 6 Timothy Rourke Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 7 Ewen Stafford Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 8 Billie Swan Handicap 1200m
Caulfield 9 Swettenham Stud Championship 1600m
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EXOTICS Ewen Stafford Handicap 1400m
Exacta

A: 1 4

B: 1 2 4 9

Trifecta

A: 1 4

B: 1 2 4 9

C: 1 2 3 4 9

First Four

A: 1 4

B: 1 2 4 9

C: 1 2 3 4 9

D: 1 2 3 4 9

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