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Caulfield Race 7: LUCRF Super Supports Jockeys 1400m

15/07/2016: Such is the market domination of both Duke Of Brunswick and Ulmann that the 3rd favourites are quoted at 12.00 at least in early markets. It would be fair to say that given a level playing field one of these two should win, however, I'm going to tip a 21.00 shot each way here in Hosting. This gelding has strong 2nd form winning twice and placed 3 times form 6 runs when doing similar in the past. In fact 2nd up last time Hosting ran 3rd at Group 3 level. If he can find best form can easily deliver the knockout blow to both the fancied runners. Prefer Duke Of Brunswick over Ulmann as the latter needs to find a length and a half to turn the tables and everything looks pretty similar. The Darren Weir trained Leica Day is produced 1st up here and unbeaten in both previous 1st up runs albeit in weaker company. Impossible to leave The New Boy out of the mix he's always around the mark whenever he's produced. It will be a real boilover if the winner comes from outside the above mentioned runners. Check the horse racing big bets for market moves.

Caulfield Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 15:35, 16/07/2016

RACEMAPLUCRF Super Supports Jockeys 1400m
Front Runners (9) The New Boy.
On Pacers (3) Lord Durante, (10) Majestic Duke.
Mid Fielders (2) Duke Of Brunswick, (8) Sadaqa, (11) Gracious Prospect.
Get Back (1) Ulmann, (4) Royal Island, (5) Leica Day, (6) Hosting, (7) Benchi Pegasus.
PACE COMMENTS Race mappers love these type of races and add me to the mix. Most times it will be The New Boy out in front but sometimes Lord Durante and there is the possibility Majestic Duke might just make a go of it. Either way it doesn’t matter because the pace will be solid. Bet with confidence if pace is a concern because I don’t have a worry.
CHANCESLUCRF Super Supports Jockeys 1400mOrderMargin
Hosting PLUS: Strong 2nd up form, placed Grp 3 last 2nd up run, winner this track, dry track a plus. A 0
  MINUS: Has been beaten last 12 starts.    
Duke Of Brunswick PLUS: Good strike rates, last start winner trk/class, well drawn. B 0.25
  MINUS: Best form has been on affected ground.    
Ulmann PLUS: Has raced well against much better class, well drawn, red hot rider. C 0.75
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Leica Day PLUS: Unbeaten both other 1st up runs, winner this track, well drawn D 2
  MINUS: Yet to win past BM 78.    
The New Boy PLUS: Expected drier ground here a big plus, never far away. E 2.5
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 15 runs here, poor winning strike rate.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 16 July 2016
Caulfield 6 National Jockeys Trust BM78 1400m
Caulfield 7 LUCRF Super Supports Jockeys 1400m
Caulfield 8 PFD Sir John Monash Stakes 1100m
Caulfield 9 My Punter Handicap 1200m
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EXOTICS LUCRF Super Supports Jockeys 1400m
Exacta

A: 1 3 8 10

B: 1 3 8 10

Trifecta

A: 1 3 8 9 10

B: 1 3 8 9 10

C: 1 3 8 9 10

First Four

A: 1 3 8

B: 1 3 8 10

C: 1 3 8 9 10

D: 1 3 8 9 10

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