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Caulfield Race 7: Terminus Hotel Healesville Plate 2000m

01/05/2015: War Point receives the ace run off the pace and after the 2kg claim for M Dee looks a strong winning chance based around the Fontein Ruby-Jurasound form line. If Show A Star gets over from his wide barrier with minimal exertion he rates strongly and pre-race we just have to assume, as a front runner, he will. All I Survey was worth risking last start and so it happened but I thought his run was actually quite good and the distance drop today is quite beneficial. Master Of Arts was beaten comprehensively by Show A Star (led all the way) last start but he was wide almost all the trip in a forgivable run. If Cinnamon Carter can repeat something close to his seven lengths demolition of a maiden field last start he features as a chance. Add Spur On Gold and that’s it for the chances.

Caulfield Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 15:40, 02/05/2015

Front Runners (16) Show A Star.
On Pacers (2) Nimbostratus, (6) War Point, (14) Von Classic Hero.
Mid Fielders (3) Spur On Gold, (4) Baja Moon, (11) Maldonado, (15) Snow Secret.
Get Back (1) Second Option, (5) Cinnamon Carter,(7) Master Of Arts, (8) Go By Rio, (9) Kawabata, (10) Iron Spider, (12) All I Survey, (13) Keep The Klass.
PACE COMMENTS Strangely, with so many runners, I only have one leader, Show A Star, and he has drawn the widest barrier which simply means he goes forward, as many of Gai Waterhouse's runners do. I can certainly see my official on pacers kicking forward to perhaps force Show A Star, the top weight, to work with his 60kg impost and even become a leader or equal leader. On that basis the pace will be solid enough to the first turn situated near the 1400m barrier area but from there, as they negotiate the circular section at the back of the track, the pace will slacken. This makes it hard for the back markers so penalize them accordingly.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Show A Star PLUS: Leads, has strong 1700m form okay for this, two wins four from four quinella good tracks. A 0
  MINUS: First distance run, wide barrier.    
War Point PLUS: Gets cosy run, 1700 to 1800 m form good last preparation. B 0.5
  MINUS: Zero from eight good tracks, one win nine runs on synthetic.    
All I Survey PLUS: Distance drop perfect, one win from two third up and deeper. C 0.75
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Master Of Arts PLUS: Tough run behind Show A Star forgive, improver at fourth race start today. D 1
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Cinnamon Carter PLUS: Enormous win last start, three second four distance runs, improver. E 2
  MINUS: Ordinary career record but looks like stayer, maiden win last run.    
Spur On Gold PLUS: Two from five good tracks, wide run last start forgive, improver, only distance runs at long odds. F 2.25
  MINUS: Distance, gets back.    
RISKY Second Option (Yarra Glen restricted form tougher to match here), Von Classic Hero (very ordinary last start, forgive??).
OUTCLASSED Nimbostratus (better at Warrnambool next week), Kawabata, Keep The Klass, Maldonado, Go By Rio, Iron Spider, Baja Moon.
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 2 May 2015
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Caulfield 7 Terminus Hotel Healesville Plate 2000m
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