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Caulfield Race 7: Victoria Handicap 1400m

25/03/2016: Black Heart Bart is an outstanding horse who has a mere 4.5kg over the limit and based on his Newmarket Handicap run you just have to tip him. Naturally, he will need luck but if they move along early, as I suspect and hope, he will storm home out wide. Red Bomber is heading for four out of four wins third up and based on his second up effort when he beat Burning Front in a Group 3, he can do it. His wide barrier is the main concern. Tried And Tired was on my hit list before last start but he redeemed himself with a terrific effort off 28 days and lo and behold I have him as my C selection in a Group 3 race! Charmed Harmony, when fit and in the correct class, is a bulldog who just keeps going. He was outclassed in the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap but third up is ready to fire. Eclair Choice hasn't fired both runs this campaign but they were tough races and ordinary runs are forgivable. The 28 days break is the type of freshener he needs and the class drop assists as well. Zebrinz is a horse I find difficult to catch but his run behind Tried And Tired was a ripper and only lack of fitness cost him a win. He has won twice third up and a third isn't beyond possibility.

Caulfield Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEDT 16:10, 26/03/2016

RACEMAPVictoria Handicap 1400m
Front Runners (1) Eclair Choice, (3) Coronation Shallan, (4) Charmed Harmony.
On Pacers (10) Tried And Tired, (12) Red Bomber.
Mid Fielders (1) Araldo Junior, (5) Zebrinz, (7) Guest Of Honor, (9) Jimando, (11) Yesterday's Songs, (14) Petrology, (16) Whistle Baby.
Get Back (6) Lucky Lago, (8) Black Heart Bart, (13) Desert Jeuney, (15) Sertorius.
PACE COMMENTS With three relatively consistent front runners with two on pacers who need to move forward early to off set their wide barriers I have no issues with pace in this race.
CHANCESVictoria Handicap 1400mOrderMargin
Black Heart Bart PLUS: Four distance wins, ten good track wins, class horse really well weighted. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back and needs luck.    
Red Bomber PLUS: Three wins at the track, three wins from three third up runs, four wins from six distance runs. B 0.5
  MINUS: Wide barrier a concern.    
Tried And Tired PLUS: Yet to run worse than second at track and distance from three runs, distance and good track conditions perfect. C 1
  MINUS: Wide barrier a concern as well.    
Charmed Harmony PLUS: Seven distance wins, two wins at the track and distance, six good track wins, class drop very beneficial. D 1.25
  MINUS: Has zero placings from three runs third up.    
Eclair Choice PLUS: 28 days break interesting, handles track, distance and track conditions. E 1.5
  MINUS: Two ordinary runs this campaign.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 26 March 2016
Caulfield 6 Catanach's Jewellers Handicap 1800m
Caulfield 7 Victoria Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 8 Le Pine Funerals Easter Cup 2000m
Caulfield 9 Noel Rundle Handicap 2000m
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EXOTICS Victoria Handicap 1400m
Exacta

A: 1 4

B: 1 2 3 4 6 13

Trifecta

A: 1 4

B: 1 2 3 4 6 13

C: 1 2 3 4 6 9 10 11 13

First Four

A: 1 4

B: 1 2 3 4 6 13

C: 1 2 3 4 6 9 10 11 13

D: 1 2 3 4 6 9 10 11 13

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