Today's Big Bets 0
Amount Bet Today $0
Most Bet Today

Caulfield Race 7: VOBIS Gold Heath 2000m

15/04/2016: Although he may not receive the best run off my race map thoughts I still think Bondeiger is the one to beat. He was only just beaten by Firehouse Rock in the spring and then ran a strong fourth in the Group 2 Herbert Power Handicap: both runs were at this track! Firehouse Rock flops first and second up but comes good third up so expect him to improve, especially considering he has beaten Bondeiger at this track and distance. Adirondack simply failed at the longer distance last start but it wasn't a thrashing and the drop back to this distance, similar to when he finished ahead of promising Pemberley in the Stoney Creek Cup, strengthens his chance in this race. London Fog beat ordinary horses at Morphettville a fortnight ago but a perusal of his form shows he is a dead set staying type who excels, albeit in weaker company so far, when the distances increase and he beat the Adelaide field easily. His rating figure says he is no chance but I believe that figure will improve very shortly. Rong Door Reggie gets a guernsey due to his 1.0 length defeat by Lahqa, a winner at Sandown last weekend. The sharp distance rise is a concern but slot him in for exotics.

Caulfield Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 16:05, 16/04/2016

RACEMAPVOBIS Gold Heath 2000m
Front Runners (7) Ultimate Doom
On Pacers (6) London Fog, (8) Rong Door Reggie, (14) Adirondack.
Mid Fielders (1) Honey Steel's Gold, (2) Racing Writer, (4) The Terricks, (5) Bondeiger, (9) Winter Palace, (10) Word Of Mouth.
Get Back (3) Vianden, (11) Belvedere Road, (12) Wintonia, (13) Spur On Gold, (15) Firehouse Truck.
PACE COMMENTS These sort of races are tricky once you get past the sprint distances when you have a lone leader and three stalkers dropping in behind the leader. You know the stalkers will let a roughie like Ultimate Doom go forward and consequently the pace will slacken fairly early. From his wide barrier Adirondack will have to surge forward a lot quicker than the other on pacers and is most likely to end up outside the leader or slot in behind him. Overall the pace should be fair but I am a tad worried about my midfielders, especially if well fancied like Bondeiger when thinking about the value issue, but on balance he picks up brownie points due to the weight structure of the race. I note he is $3.30: I would not be taking less based on my pace analysis.
CHANCESVOBIS Gold Heath 2000mOrderMargin
Bondeiger PLUS: Distance and track conditions suitable, well weighted as per the handicappers ratings, third up winner in the past. A 0
  MINUS: Just gets back a fraction in the run.    
Firehouse Rock PLUS: Doesn't win fresh so ready third up, distance winner and two victories at this track. B 0.25
  MINUS: Both runs this campaign looked flat but perhaps unfit?    
Adirondack PLUS: Distance an issue last run, good track winner and distance no major concern, beat smart Pemberley home two runs ago. C 0.5
  MINUS: Wide barrier might force him to work early problematical.    
London Fog PLUS: Improving staying type, easy win last start, two wins from five runs this distance. D 1.5
  MINUS: Class rise, two wet track wins from five runs indicates could be a better wet tracker but not conclusive.    
Rong Door Reggie PLUS: Mornington Guineas form behind Lahqa promising, distance winner, has won on a good track. E 2
  MINUS: Class rise, two wet track wins from three runs, better in the wet??    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 16 April 2016
Caulfield 6 VOBIS Gold Sprint 1200m
Caulfield 7 VOBIS Gold Heath 2000m
Caulfield 8 TROA Anniversary Vase 1400m
Caulfield 9 Racing Victoria Off The Track Plate 1100m
Go to Quaddie Picker
EXOTICS VOBIS Gold Heath 2000m
Exacta

A: 1 2

B: 1 2 5 7 14

Trifecta

A: 1 2

B: 1 2 5 7 14

C: 1 2 4 5 7 9 13 14

First Four

A: 1 2

B: 1 2 5 7 14

C: 1 2 4 5 7 9 13 14

D: 1 2 4 5 7 9 13 14

Go to Exotics Picker
UP TO $500 IN BONUS BETS FOR NEW ACT, QLD, TAS AND NT CUSTOMERS!