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Caulfield Race 7: William Hill Sprint Series Heat 1 1200m

28/08/2015: This is a really interesting race. The soft win by Vezalay first up speaks well for her chances. Her strong third in the Group 2 Kewney Stakes and ripper 3.5 lengths defeat in the wfa William Reid Stakes clearly showed she is a classy mare. Loved Up comes into this race as a strong chance on her defeat of not only Nayeli but also Peeping and Kuro in the Fireball a few runs ago. She represents the value of the race. Girl Guide’s statistics has her as a genuine chance as she won first up by three lengths two campaigns ago and followed up with a Group 3 win. There were some excuses in her autumn campaign. Be forgiving. Griante ran exactly the same first up last preparation (an ordinary looking finish) but blew her rivals apart second up in Sydney. She can do the same here. Jessy Belle is better at slightly longer distances but her 1.05 length defeat by Rose De Lago showed she can match it in this class and distance and she does fight when in a finish.

Caulfield Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 16:05, 29/08/2015

RACEMAPWilliam Hill Sprint Series Heat 1 1200m
Front Runners (9) Cosmic Endeavour, (11) Vezalay.
On Pacers (14) Griante, (17) Hazard.
Mid Fielders (4) Vibrant Rouge, (5) More Radiant, (6) Jessy Belle, (8) Girl Guide, (12) Double Dee, (15) Madam Gangster.
Get Back (1) Nadeem Lass, (2) Soosa Rama, (3) Estonian Princess, (7) Petite Diablesse, (10) Loved Up, (13) May's Dream, (16) Scarlet Billows.
PACE COMMENTS With Cosmic Endeavour and Vezelay needing to overcome their wider barriers and the likelihood both Hazard and Griante will go forward from their worse barriers to a good settling position I am expecting the pace to solid enough for the mid fielders and get back runners to feature in the finish.
CHANCESWilliam Hill Sprint Series Heat 1 1200mOrderMargin
Vezalay PLUS: Two from six career, 0.7 length defeat Group 2 last campaign, easy win last run, can lead. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Loved Up PLUS: Six thirteen career, two from five distance four times quinella, two from three first up. B 1.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Griante PLUS: Six nineteen career, three seven track, four good track wins, improved second up last campaign. C 1.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Jessy Belle PLUS: Five good track wins, track and distance better than looks, trier, seven career wins. D 1.75
  MINUS: Seven weeks break.    
Girl Guide PLUS: Two from three first up, five from thirteen good tracks, three seven distance, win track and distance. E 2
  MINUS: Nil.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 29 August 2015
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