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Caulfield Race 8: Blue Diamond Stakes 1200m

27/02/2015: The worst negatives you can level against Fontiton is drawing barrier one and the distance doubt in the last one hundred metres. Neither has me worrying and I am declaring her one of the bets of the day to be quite frank. She will receive a perfect run off the pace and she fights like a caged lion: she will do me. It’s a different matter when searching for dangers as there are many but I am slotting in Pride Of Dubai just ahead of Of The Brave simply on the powerful finish he exhibited last start. Thurlow keeps winning and horses like this are the type we punters should respect. Stoker needed his first up run and strolled in second up and seems like a natural improver from the respected McEvoy stable. For the exotics add in Sampeah, Manhattan Blues, Flamboyant Lass, Miss Gidget, Lake Geneva and Air Apparent. Yes, it’s that sort of race outside the favourite.

Caulfield Race 8. RaceTime: AEDT 17:50, 28/02/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (3) Bantam, (9) Of The Brave, (15) Flamboyant Lass.
On Pacers (1) Fontiton, (6) Stoker, (7) Prompt Return, (10) Miss Gidget, (11) Lake Geneva.
Mid Fielders (2) Claudia Jean, (4) Air Apparent, (5) Pride Of Dubai, (8) Thurlow, (12) Sampeah, (13) Reemah, (14) Manhattan Blues.
Get Back Nil.
PACE COMMENTS This is going to be a genuinely run Blue Diamond as I have every runner slotting no worse than mid field based on their current running patterns with a rarity of no back markers, something I don’t think I have experienced when race mapping. This favours all runners and essentially the best ride with the best luck wins the race.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Fontiton PLUS: Unbeaten fighter, drawn well via race map. A 0
  MINUS: Last fifty metres.    
Pride Of Dubai PLUS: Huge run last start, improver from top stable with top class rider. B 1
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Of The Brave PLUS: Unbeaten, two from two at track. C 1.25
  MINUS: Last fifty metres on last run against Prince Of Dubai.    
Thurlow PLUS: Won two from three close second other, winners keep winning, C Williams aboard. D 2
  MINUS: Class rise.    
Stoker PLUS: Ready to win, D Oliver T McEvoy combination, races on pace. E 2.25
  MINUS: Class rise.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Prompt Return (hard pressed to beat Thurlow on first up run).
OUTCLASSED Bantam, Claudia Jean, Reemah.
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 28 February 2015
Caulfield 8 Blue Diamond Stakes 1200m
Caulfield 6 Peter Young Stakes 1800m
Caulfield 7 Oakleigh Plate 1100m
Caulfield 9 Mypunter Cup Prelude 2000m
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