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Caulfield Race 8: Gold Heath 2000m

24/07/2015: With the main chances mid fielders and get back types this race represents challenges for those horses but it’s one of those races where you need to stop being cute and just pick the form horses. In smaller fields they have less problems to contend with. Word Of Mouth has the draw, C. Williams aboard and a competent stable for a horse with four distance wins and his slaughter of Doctor Care (an Adelaide winner since) has him on top. Manageress’s chance of winning looked forlorn at one stage as Kansas Sunflower looked to be bolting but the filly showed a bit of ticker and dug in. Radical rocketed around the field to beat the unlucky Heavy and understandably wobbled in the last fifty metres. He only drops 1kg into a slightly harder race but he is a lightly raced improver and they often surprise when going through the grades. Clairvaux should not have beaten Refulgent two runs ago when off 37 days over 1800m but he did and that is the sign of a genuine racehorse. Last start he was off 28 days over 2000m and he just couldn’t hold off Falago when fitness issues kicked in. Pompeius is the knockout based on his Abbasso form line but I am a tad worried about the 3.5kg weight and distance rise. Still at $21 leave him in: that’s value.

Caulfield Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:20, 25/07/2015

RACEMAPGold Heath 2000m
Front Runners (6) Tre Dieci.
On Pacers (7) Pompeius, (13) Lannister.
Mid Fielders (3) Word Of Mouth, (8) Za Za Zoom, (9) Refulgent.
Get Back (2) Radical, (4) Manageress, (5) Posh Rock, (11) The Terricks, (12) Clairvaux.
PACE COMMENTS With Tre Dieci looking the likely leader and with Lannister and Pompeius surging forward early there should be enough pace for all runners in this smaller field. Horses in the market like Radical and Manageress (bless her heart last start!) who get back have the job ahead of them but at least don't have a wall of horses to contend with as per fields of eighteen.
CHANCESGold Heath 2000mOrderMargin
Word Of Mouth PLUS: Four from ten distance, Doctor Care formline strong for this, C Williams aboard. A 0
  MINUS: Two from fourteen good tracks.    
Radical PLUS: Three from seven career, one from one track and distance, big run last start. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Manageress PLUS: Lightly raced improver, two from seven good tracks, big run last start. C 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back, filly versus males.    
Clairvaux PLUS: Five from fourteen good tracks, needed last run off 28 days, big win two runs ago. D 0.75
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Pompeius PLUS: One from three distance, Abbasso form line strong. E 1.75
  MINUS: One career win eighteen runs concerns.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 25 July 2015
Caulfield 6 Ascend Sales Trophies Handicap 2400m
Caulfield 7 Bletchingly Stakes 1200m
Caulfield 8 Gold Heath 2000m
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