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Caulfield Race 8: Le Pine Funerals Easter Cup 2000m

25/03/2016: Strictly on form this is a match race between Lidari and Awesome Rock however the distance and runs in from a spell creates opportunities for other runners. Firstly, I am going to take on Awesome Rock under handicap conditions, but not totally, as I have great respect for Preferment and to be just beaten by that horse, albeit on protest, is a form line worth noting. The 5kg rise in weights from Awesome Rock's handicap win against Malice and Garud (good plodders as I see them) could be his undoing but on the other hand this is not a Group 1 wfa event. Just watch the price. In one set of quaddies I will leave him out. Lidari impressed me in Adelaide as he didn't really get the easiest run for a part of the straight but under 61kg really tried hard. That second to Signoff, when first up off a massive 287 days, was a fantastic run at this track, a track where Awesome Rock is still a maiden. Puccini has a sensational fourth up and deeper record of seven wins from twelve runs and some of the losses have been runs before spells or at huge odds where outclassed (in six of his eleven Australian starts he has been $26 plus). The runs where in the market in suitable races have been good enough for this race. Guardini, Observational and Manndawi all have similar form lines revolving around running well at shorter distances and will be expected to improve at the longer distance today. It's marginal which will perform best of the trio so put them all in!

Caulfield Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEDT 16:50, 26/03/2016

RACEMAPLe Pine Funerals Easter Cup 2000m
Front Runners (8) Gladstone, (10) Leebaz, (11) Awesome Rock.
On Pacers (3) Rather Heroic, (4) Lidari.
Mid Fielders (1) Manndawai, (2) Puccini, (5) Guardini, (7) Good Value, (9) Doumaran.
Get Back (6) Transfer Allowance, (12) Extra Zero, (13) Observational.
PACE COMMENTS With three likely leaders and some action just off the pace I am assuming the pace will be good. Most likely Gladstone with the lighter weight will lead as I cannot imagine connections wishing to push Awesome Rock and Leebaz to the lead with their higher weights however they might jump brilliantly and lead without effort. Regardless of the eventual scenario don't worry about pace.
CHANCESLe Pine Funerals Easter Cup 2000mOrderMargin
Lidari PLUS: Courageous last start with 61kg second up when held up, second to Signoff terrific form line. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Awesome Rock PLUS: Second at wfa last start at Group 1 level this distance, races best dry tracks, can lead or sit off pace. B 0.5
  MINUS: Zero wins from six track starts, wide barrier with 59kg minor concern, rises 5kg on last handicap win.    
Puccini PLUS: Seven good track wins, this distance very suitable, seven wins from twelve runs fourth up and deeper. C 1.25
  MINUS: Rises 500m but minor concern for this horse.    
Guardini PLUS: Needed first up run, three good track wins overseas, distance definitely not an issue. D 1.5
  MINUS: Second up at this distance but both first up wins at longer distances.    
Observational PLUS: Forgive last run in mad leaders race, distance and track conditions no issue. E 1.75
  MINUS: Only 9 career runs for five year old indicates leg issue?    
Manndawi PLUS: Ready to fire this level, Geelong Cup placing first Oz start so distance no issue. F 2
  MINUS: One placing from five good track runs but excuses for last four so??    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 26 March 2016
Caulfield 6 Catanach's Jewellers Handicap 1800m
Caulfield 7 Victoria Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 8 Le Pine Funerals Easter Cup 2000m
Caulfield 9 Noel Rundle Handicap 2000m
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EXOTICS Le Pine Funerals Easter Cup 2000m
Exacta

A: 3 6

B: 1 3 5 6 7 8

Trifecta

A: 3 6

B: 1 3 5 6 7 8

C: 1 3 5 6 7 8

First Four

A: 3 6

B: 1 3 5 6 7 8

C: 1 3 5 6 7 8

D: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 11

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