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Caulfield Race 8: MRC Foundation Cup 2000m

18/09/2015: Sertorius is a winner of ten races, loves Caulfield, performs well at the highest level in wfa races and will get a terrific run through the race. Why wouldn’t he be the A selection with those credentials? Perhaps he will need another run but he performs well second up so let’s go with him. Magnapal will be a better chance if the rains come (some predicted) but he can handle himself in good going and more importantly this campaign he is firing on all cylinders. Taiyoo was my A selection last week and his run petered out at the 100 metre mark leaving me with several useless tickets. It is worth noting he has three wins and an unlucky second when racing on a quick backup of nine days or less and to me this is a very positive stable sign all is well. The United States had to work last start and he simply tired in the last thirty metres after hitting the lead. For all we know, at the moment, Chance To Dance might be really good and the defeat worthy of extra merit. Kapour needed the last run off 51 days when over 1800m on a soft track and I am expecting an improvement today. Bold Sniper might just need another run but I keep looking at that half length second to Contributer with 2kg less and in he goes!

Caulfield Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:45, 19/09/2015

RACEMAPMRC Foundation Cup 2000m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (1) Taiyoo, (7) Magnapal, (9) Sertorius, (12) The United States, (13) Lord Durante, (19) Genuine Lad, (20) Kapour.
Mid Fielders (5) Banca Mo, (6) Our Voodoo Prince, (11) Bold Sniper, (14) Hawkspur, (18) Almoonqith.
Get Back (2) Sonntag, (3) Prince Cheri, (4) Ethiopia, (8) Let's Make A Deal, (10) La Amistad, (15) Café Society, (16) Our Ivanhowe, (17) Like A Carousel.
PACE COMMENTS Every now and then I find a race like this where I have no consistent frontrunners. On face value we should simply slot then all up a row but it isn't always that simple because some horses need cover and going to the lead is not a suitable option. In this race we just have to accept the likes of Taiyoo (led last start) and Lord Durante are the likely leaders and that Genuine Lad and Kapour will come across in a hurry to negate their wide barriers. From there they will drop anchor which I don't believe will help my back markers however the mid fielders should be fine.
CHANCESMRC Foundation Cup 2000mOrderMargin
Sertorius PLUS: Three wins and two seconds at the track, seven good track wins. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Magnapal PLUS: Iggamacool form line, two wins and two seconds seven runs this track, unbeaten this preparation. B 0.5
  MINUS: Won three times from eight wet track runs, zero wins from eight distance runs.    
Taiyoo PLUS: Three wins on back ups of nine days or less and Adelaide Cup second, two wins at distance, fitter. C 1
  MINUS: Nil.    
The United States PLUS: Four wins from nine career runs, three wins from seven good track runs, unbeaten at the distance. D 1.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Kapour PLUS: Two wins from four distance runs, three wins from nine wet track runs, needed last run. E 1.75
  MINUS: Wide barrier.    
Bold Sniper PLUS: Beaten half length by Contributer in UK, handles all track conditions, wide first up in parts of the race. F 2
  MINUS: Might need another run?    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 19 September 2015
Caulfield 6 Testa Rossa Stakes 1200m
Caulfield 7 William Hill Sprint Series Heat 2 Stakes 1200m
Caulfield 8 MRC Foundation Cup 2000m
Caulfield 9 The Cove Hotel Handicap 1600m
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