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Caulfield Race 8: PFD Sir John Monash Stakes 1100m

15/07/2016: A few chances here but Wild Rain on an each way basis could be the way to go. This gelding has a good winning strike rate and was beaten by the Newmarket winner The Quarterback when resuming from a spell last time on heavy ground. Has been placed at this level at this track in the past and I'm sure trainer Mark Kavanagh will have him primed for a strong 1st up assault. Fast 'N' Rocking hasn't got a great winning strike rate but has been Group 1 placed on several occasions. Strong effort in the Group 1 Goodwood Stakes last time out when 4th and his best probably wins this. Girl Guide has good 1st up form and her best is well capable of winning a race like this. Lost her way for a while but nose 2nd to the smart Shiedel here before heavy track failure at Warrnambool some 74 days back showed a possible return to her best. Atmospherical is a 4 time winner this distance and is very smart at best. Hasn't won for quite some time but is a recent trial winner and was very close up in an Oakleigh Plate this course in 2015. Thermal Current is proven this level and has run some good races in better class than this. Yet to win in 8 runs this track but definitely rates a place chance here.

Caulfield Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 16:15, 16/07/2016

RACEMAPPFD Sir John Monash Stakes 1100m
Front Runners (2) Runsati, (10) Wild Rain.
On Pacers ((8) Mirage, (9) Lord Of The Sky, (13) Tudor.
Mid Fielders (1) Le Bonsir, (2) The Cynic, (4) Thermal Current, (6) Fast 'N' Rocking, (7) Girl Guide, (12) Olivier, (15) Trevinder.
Get Back (3) Atmospherical, (5) General Truce, (14) Weinholt, (16) Kayjay's Joy.
PACE COMMENTS Unless one of the on pacers decides to really rocket along I am confident Wild Rain and Runsati should be the leaders. Even on the basis of the on pacers kicking through, and any of the trio are capable of leading, the pace will be strong so if you fancy a back marker, if good enough at wfa, they will have their chance.
CHANCESPFD Sir John Monash Stakes 1100mOrderMargin
Wild Rain PLUS: Good strike rates, beaten by Newmarket winner 1st up last time. A 0
  MINUS: Rises in class, drawn a bit wide.    
Fast 'N' Rocking PLUS: Multiple Grp 1 placed, top 4th in Goodwood last run, his best would win this, drops in grade. B 0.75
  MINUS: Has poor winning strike rate.    
Girl Guide PLUS: Goes well fresh, proven this level, has red hot Williams in the saddle. C 1.25
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 8 this track, rises in class.    
Atmospherical PLUS: Goes well this distance, placed Grp 2 level, recent trial winner. D 3
  MINUS: Been out of form for a while.    
Thermal Current PLUS: Goes well this distance, proven this level, well drawn. E 3.25
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 16 July 2016
Caulfield 6 National Jockeys Trust BM78 1400m
Caulfield 7 LUCRF Super Supports Jockeys 1400m
Caulfield 8 PFD Sir John Monash Stakes 1100m
Caulfield 9 My Punter Handicap 1200m
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EXOTICS PFD Sir John Monash Stakes 1100m
Exacta

A: 1 13 14 15

B: 1 13 14 15

Trifecta

A: 1 6 13 14 15

B: 1 6 13 14 15

C: 1 6 13 14 15

First Four

A: 1 13 14

B: 1 13 14 15

C: 1 6 13 14 15

D: 1 6 13 14 15

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