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Caulfield Race 8: Sheen Group Bel Esprit Stakes 1100m

23/04/2016: Sheidel has been dead set unlucky at both his Victorian starts. He was caught wide first up (that was predictable from barrier 11) but who could see him slip at the start second up? Even still he looked a chance at the 200m mark but perhaps the mishap early took the sting out of him. Give him another chance. Husson Eagle seems to be his own worst enemy at times by either being checked or caught tight among other runners. If he is able to just launch as they straighten, and he should from barrier 9, he can steam home for victory. Pittsburgh Flyer was checked when they jumped in the Group 1 Galaxy and that was the finish of his chance to emulate his top run in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate, a race where he didn't get the clearest of runs. It's worth remembering he finished ahead of Group 1 Newmarket Handicap winner The Quarterback and Griante, who was chopped out at the 200m mark, the winner of Group 1 Galaxy he missed the start in. Any return to that sort of form level sees him in the finish of this race. Like Chris Waller, whenever the Snowden team send a horse to Melbourne take notice. In this case he is first up which even further strengthens my interest. His last first up run saw him defeated by Terravista by a tick over one length. Any return to that sort of run and he is also a top chance. Normally I would be wary with a horse on the limit but We've Got This showed last preparation he has serious ability when jumping from a BM78, beating Tansy, to winning a BM96, defeating Rough Justice, a win which had the handicapper raising his ratings 4.5kg. He has drawn well which will aid his cause. Oh no, Under The Louvre is back! I am succumbing only because he has drawn a wide barrier and will get to the outside easily enough and there is plenty of pace early to allow to sprint home. I have just checked and he is $5.50: that's fair without being exciting.

Caulfield Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 16:35, 23/04/2016

RACEMAPSheen Group Bel Esprit Stakes 1100m
Front Runners (4) Bullpit, (7) Mirage, (8) Sheidel, (17) Hellova Street.
On Pacers (6) That's A Good Idea, (11) Java, (15) Girl Guide.
Mid Fielders (1) Pittsburgh Flyer, (2) We've Got This, (9) Husson Eagle, (10) Beau Rada, (12) Unanimously, (16) Cashed.
Get Back (3) It Is Written, (5) Nozomi, (13) Under The Louvre, (14) Our Nkwazi, (18) Lonrockstar.
PACE COMMENTS There should be plenty of pace with four front runners and three on pacers who could also jump cleanly early. The backmarkers will get their chance late in the race.
CHANCESSheen Group Bel Esprit Stakes 1100mOrderMargin
Sheidel PLUS: Two wins from three runs at the distance, nine good track wins, eleven career wins. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Husson Eagle PLUS: Two distance wins from five attempts, winner at the track, four good track wins, drawn to get a reasonably clear run. B 0.5
  MINUS: Can get back, twenty eight days break.    
Pittsburgh Flyer PLUS: Three distance wins with a 0.95 defeat in one of the losses, good track suits, gets a reasonable run off the pace. C 0.75
  MINUS: Five week break, may need luck off the barrier even though it's a good one.    
That's A Good Idea PLUS: First up Terravista formline, three trials in readiness with Snowden stable keen, good track and distance all fine. D 1
  MINUS: First up, not getting any younger which makes it harder for tired legs to win after a spell.    
We've Got This PLUS: Winner this track, four good track wins, quite capable first up, lightly raced improver. E 1.25
  MINUS: First up in much tougher grade.    
Under The Louvre PLUS: Group 1 placed, seven out of eight placings this track with two wins, two wins from five first up attempts. F 1.5
  MINUS: All the usual Under The Louvre issues of getting back, now has 60kg to carry, hasn't won for eight starts.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 23 April 2016
Caulfield 6 JRA Handicap 1440m
Caulfield 7 Sandown Park UK Handicap 1100m
Caulfield 8 Sheen Group Bel Esprit Stakes 1100m
Caulfield 9 BECK Property Group Plate 2000m
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EXOTICS Sheen Group Bel Esprit Stakes 1100m
Exacta

A: 7 9

B: 1 2 4 7 9 10 16

Trifecta

A: 7 9

B: 1 2 4 7 9 10 16

C: 1 2 4 7 8 9 10 12 13 16

First Four

A: 7 9

B: 1 2 4 7 9 10 16

C: 1 2 4 7 8 9 10 12 13 16

D: 1 2 4 7 8 9 10 12 13 16

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