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Caulfield Race 8: Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 1400m

25/09/2015: Lucky Hussler wasn’t fit enough first up as he loomed ready to win but just ground away to be beaten 1.3 lengths. First up last preparation he was fit as he strolled in winning the Group 1 William Reid Stake, however defeating Vain Queen and Griante doesn't constitute a genuine Group 1 race. Second up, in the All Aged Stakes, he stepped to the next level with a wide run in transit around genuine Group 1 horses such as Dissident and Chautauqua. He can win this second up on that effort. Disposition's first up win was soft and there is improvement sure and certain to come from that effort. He has drawn beautifully and if he is going to win a Group 1 race in Victoria this is the race. Stratum Star promises a win at this level but he seems to be found wanting too often however his first up defeat by Boban and Entirely Platinum (both went so close to Fawkner in the Makybe Diva Stakes) just cannot be denied and perhaps this is going to be his campaign. Under The Louvre has the ability - we all know this - but his get back style makes it tough at this level but he did finish ahead of A selection last start so in he goes. Although Cosmic Endeavour is a mare against the males you have to give her a chance on the top run last start when she was wide a fair part of the journey behind Amicus. She was entitled to drop off yet was only beaten a smidgen over half a length. Amorino finished close to Under The Louvre last start and there’s no reason why he is not in this race with a strong chance with the only real worry his abysmal second up record.

Caulfield Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:45, 26/09/2015

RACEMAPSir Rupert Clarke Stakes 1400m
Front Runners (9) Charmed Harmony, (11) Gregers, (12), (15) Leebaz, (17) Strawberry Boy, (22) Rich Enuff.
On Pacers (3) Disposition, (5) Fast'n'Rocking, (8) Moonovermanhattan, (10) Cosmic Endeavour.
Mid Fielders (2) Lucky Hussler, (4) Yesterday's Song, (6) Under The Louvre, (13) Petrology, (14) Hopfgarten, (18) Stratum Star.
Get Back (1) Amarino, (7) Bull Pojnt, (16) Amicus, (19) We're Gonna Rock, (20) Abidewithme, (21) Worthy Cause.
PACE COMMENTS Looking at my race map it seems very obvious the pace is going to be on for young and old right from the start. For starters it is a Group 1 race and almost every jockey whose horse races near the lead will be told to go forward and get the best position possible - it's just going to happen. This means a strong early pace which you would expect with the likes of Leebaz, Strawberry Boy and Charmed Harmony - previous leaders in races - in the field. Don't worry about where your selection normally settles: just get a good price, which you should anyway considering the depth of the field. Another race I can't wait to watch.
CHANCESSir Rupert Clarke Stakes 1400mOrderMargin
Lucky Hussler PLUS: Group 1 winner, tough run against Dissident, Chautauqua, galloped on in Goodwood. A 0
  MINUS: Needs luck from inside barrier but G Boss takes chances.    
Disposition PLUS: Easy first up win, two wins from four at the distance, five good tracks from nine runs. B 0.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Stratum Star PLUS: Group 1 run last start excellent, two wins from six starts at the distance, track and distance winner. C 0.75
  MINUS: Struggles to win harder races.    
Under The Louvre PLUS: Two seconds from two track and distance runs, handles all track conditions. D 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back and will need luck.    
Cosmic Endeavour PLUS: Three wins from five distance runs, five wins from fourteen good track starts, wide all way last run. E 1.5
  MINUS: Mare versus males.    
Amorino PLUS: Four distance wins, track and distance winner, nine good track wins. F 1.75
  MINUS: Gets back from awkward inside draw and will need luck, second up yet to place from six runs.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 26 September 2015
Caulfield 6 Caulfield Guineas Prelude 1400m
Caulfield 7 Hyland Colours Underwood Stakes 1800m
Caulfield 8 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 9 Cup Club Handicap 1700m
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