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Caulfield Race 8: Victoria Handicap 1400m

03/04/2015: Forget Sistine Demon’s last two Caulfield runs, last preparation, when all must not have been well seeing he never fired a shot in three runs. His two previous runs at Caulfield yielded a six lengths win in the 2014 version of today’s race and a three length win prior. This time in he resumed at $71 in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate and last run he peaked at the two hundred metre mark. At $9.00 he is excellent each way value for a horse who should lead with minimal concern. Disposition pulled up with a slight injury concern after almost defeating the bulldog like Wandjina, who went on to win the Australian Guineas, six weeks ago. With W Pike popping over from Perth I am assuming this to be a positive lead for his chances in this race. Jimando is on fire and is in line for a hat trick as is Amorino and neither can be dismissed too quickly. Gracious Prospect and Saint Or Sinner are also contenders in a race full of depth. Place chances to Watermans Bay, The Peak, Hosting and Quayside.

Caulfield Race 8. RaceTime: AEDT 16:50, 04/04/2015

Front Runners (2) Sistine Demon.
On Pacers (1) Saint Or Sinner, (3) Gracious Prospect, (8) Disposition, (13) Jimando, (19) Written Up.
Mid Fielders (5) Amorino, (12) Vibrant Rouge, (14) The United States, (15) Gallante, (18) Aeronautical.
Get Back (4) Hosting, (6) Quayside, (7) Waterman's Bay, (9) The Peak, (10) Trade Commissioner, (11) Green Moon, (16) Venture On, (17) Calvin Williams.
PACE COMMENTS Sistine Demon strolls to the lead with the on pacers near the fence jostling for position. The interesting race map question is whether Jimando and Written Up try to go forward or whether they attempt to slot in somewhere. If they go forward the pace is on for young and old and the back markers get their chance. With the doubt involved I would be wary about betting on in the market back markers.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Sistine Demon PLUS: Two from four track and distance, four from seven distance, leads. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Disposition PLUS: Wandjina form line, seven from seven quinella runs, W Pike from WA for ride. B 0.5
  MINUS: Six weeks break.    
Jimando PLUS: Three from six distance, hat trick looming, seven good track wins. C 0.75
  MINUS: Wide barrier.    
Gracious Prospect PLUS: On pacer gets good run, two seconds two runs track and distance, five good track wins. D 1.25
  MINUS: Four wins distance twenty one runs average.    
Saint Or Sinner PLUS: Two from five distance, six from seventeen distance, two from four second up. E 1.5
  MINUS: Inconsistent runs.    
Amorino PLUS: Three from nine distance, eight good track wins. F 2
  MINUS: Winning at big track Flemington, gets back.    
RISKY Green Moon, Gallante, Calvin Williams, Trade Commissioner and The United States (risking first up this distance), Aeronautical (one from nine distance), Vibrant Rouge (better against mares), Written Up (all wins wet tracks), Venture On (slight class rise).
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 4 April 2015
Caulfield 6 BM90 1100m
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Caulfield 8 Victoria Handicap 1400m
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