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Caulfield Race 8: VOBIS Gold Mile 1600m

17/04/2015: This is one of those races where you are simply guessing, within the bounds of reason. Belorum was caught wide last run so forgive that effort. Two runs ago he won comfortably at Moonee Valley and the run before that, at Cranbourne, was a ripper when checked twice, caught wide yet still won. With a reasonable run off the pace he will track nicely into the race. Written will either lead or sit off the pace and even though there is a slight doubt about his distance ability based on his last run I think he will give heaps of cheek. Hot on his trail will be the weight horse Self Sense but he will need luck as a get back type. B Melham won on him two runs ago when winning the Kilmore Cup which is a real positive factor. Refulgent seems to be plodding this campaign but I am swayed by the positive jockey change and his two from four at the distance with one of the losses his wide run last start. Soosa Rama was quite unlucky last run and although this is her first distance start and has a wide barrier I am prepared to afford her a chance. Place hopes to Resistant, Turnitaround, Varboss, Pendles, Zebrinz and Charlemagne’s Girl. A wild race so ask for good odds.

Caulfield Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:05, 18/04/2015

Front Runners (2) Charlemagne's Girl, (5) Written, (8) Resistant.
On Pacers (3) Rebel Rising, (7) Belorum, (10) Turnaround, (17) Varboss.
Mid Fielders (6) Zebrinz, (9) Refulgent, (12) Bolshoi Bandit, (13) Pendles, (16) Soosa Rama.
Get Back (1) Anfitriona, (4) Cordoba, (11) Word Of Mouth, (14) Written Up, (15) Self Sense.
PACE COMMENTS With three runners vying for the lead and and another four right behind the pace I see this race being run genuinely.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Belorum PLUS: Three twelve good tracks, forgivable wide run last start won three previous, gets good run. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Written PLUS: Likely leader, one three distance, four eleven good track, reasonably well weighted at set weights. B 0.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Self Sense PLUS: Quinella four from six track, well weighted under set weights. C 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back, five wins eleven wet track runs    
Refulgent PLUS: Two four distance, wide last run forgive, Weir C Williams strong combination. D 0.75
  MINUS: Two eleven good tracks.    
Varboss PLUS: Two from four distance, four from ten good tracks. E 1
  MINUS: First up distance wide barrier.    
Soosa Rama PLUS: Four thirteen good tracks, unlucky last run. F 1.75
  MINUS: Wide barrier, first distance run.    
RISKY Written Up (zero from seven good tracks, distance query), Cordoba (class rise issue), Anfitriona (always runs on).
OUTCLASSED Word Of Mouth, Rebel Rising, Bolshoi Bandit.
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 18 April 2015
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