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Caulfield Race 9: Australian Defence Force Handicap 1800m

14/08/2015: Raposo has the makings of a top horse but his get back style is a concern. He was a moral beaten last start and would have won in another stride or two. He will need the 2kg claim but regardless of all the negatives he has to be the A selection. Clemo either struggled at the distance or the soft track or a combination of both last start and now that he is back onto a better track and a distance drop improvement can be expected. Diaghan never ever saw daylight for the full length of the Flemington straight last start. It’s impossible to really tell but giving him the best of it he should have run second but even if that’s off the boil considering he finished 1.7 lengths behind last weeks repeat winner Refulgent the $21 available looks appealing. The seven weeks break is the main concern. Aliyana needed the run off 31 days last start yet she rocketed home quite strongly and the distance holds no fear for her. Another at good odds. Pacific Heights ran on resolutely last start past the winning post after being wide on the home turn last start at Geelong and if the distance had been longer the margin would have been less. Dare I say it again: another at good odds. Add in Haradafull, trained by Ciaron Maher, as an improver over the distance and a better track in the offering.

Caulfield Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 17:15, 15/08/2015

RACEMAPAustralian Defence Force Handicap 1800m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (9) Mister Moneypenny, (11) Lannister.
Mid Fielders (1) Haradafull, (4) Stellarized, (7) Raposo, (8) Aliyana, (12) Calibrate.
Get Back (2) Steakandbearnaise, (3) Epsom Hill, (5) Diaghan, (6) Clemo, (10) Tenacitus, (13) Pacific Heights, (14) Tilla Bell Rings, (15) Stratigraphy.
PACE COMMENTS Blow me down if there isn't another race with no regular front runners present as per my personal race map. To add to the problems I only have two horses as on pacers. In other words this race is going to be available for all sorts of unusual running styles. Although I was fifty-fifty in race eight I am less confident in this race for the back markers.
CHANCESAustralian Defence Force Handicap 1800mOrderMargin
Raposo PLUS: Three from eleven career, huge last run special beaten. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Clemo PLUS: Three from seven good tracks, three from eight career, improver, struggled soft track last run. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Diaghan PLUS: Never saw daylight whole straight last run, P Moody at Caulfield with claim. C 1
  MINUS: Last good run soft track 2400m France, might need another run??    
Aliyana PLUS: D Weir trained huge run last start, five good track wins, needed last run off 3 days. D 1.5
  MINUS: Gets back, mare versus males.    
Pacific Heights PLUS: Needed last two runs off huge break, 2 kg claim assists, ran on last run distance rise suits. E 1.75
  MINUS: Assume gets back but not sure??    
Haradafull PLUS: Lightly race improver, 3.5kg weight drop helps as well as better track. F 2
  MINUS: Class rise.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 15 August 2015
Caulfield 6 Quezette Stakes 1100m
Caulfield 7 P.B. Lawrence Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 8 Regal Roller Stakes 1200m
Caulfield 9 Australian Defence Force Handicap 1800m
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