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Caulfield Race 9: Bellmaine Stakes 1200m

12/02/2016: Let's get to the crux of this race. I am taking on Azkadellia simply because she has a huge job ahead sitting almost last, if not last, and trying to get past several top mares. In this game of chance you must weigh up the odds and she is about a $4.50 chance in my reckoning. If you will pardon the sentence I am choosing Choose to lead all the way. She is the lone leader who has Group 3 Mannerism Stakes form behind Tycoon Tara and if that mare was in this race she would be close to favourite whereas Choose is $11. Wawail is a trier and with her soft run off the pace will figure in the finish. She has a Politeness form line from the Northwood Plume Stakes and that mare was just beaten in the Group 1 Emirates Stakes by Turn Me Loose (watch him in the C.F. Orr Stakes). Tuscan Sling is a horse who wins races and her first up record of three wins from three runs rates highly for this race. Shakespearean Lass fought solidly to outlast Trevinder after receiving a very cosy run in transit. She will receive the same type of run this week. Azkadellia flops in for fourth on my reckoning mainly due to the excellent Group 1 placing in the Myer Classic. Shakespearean Lass fought solidly to outlast Trevinder after receiving a very cosy run in transit. She will receive the same type of run this week.

Caulfield Race 9. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 17:30, 13/02/2016

RACEMAPBellmaine Stakes 1200m
Front Runners (6) Choose.
On Pacers (2) Wawail, (7) Tuscan Sling, (8) Shakespearean Lass.
Mid Fielders (1) Chiavari, (5) Jessy Belle, (10) Felicienne, (12) amarela.
Get Back (3) Miss Steele, (4) Nadeem Lass, (9) Azkadellia, (11) My Sister Lil.
PACE COMMENTS Now here's a race I am convinced will be run at a pedestrian pace. Choose leads with Wawail, Shakespearean Lass and Tuscan Sling sitting and waiting for the leader to fold. The rest of the field will struggle, in my humble opinion, to race past this quartet of very handy mares and I haven't mentioned Jessy Belle and Felicienne! The biggest risk of the day in the quadrella legs is the $2.50 favourite Azkadellia who will have to run amazing sectionals to come from almost last and win.
CHANCESBellmaine Stakes 1200mOrderMargin
Choose PLUS: Likely lone leader, four distance wins from six attempts, five good track wins, Tycoon Tara form line good. A 0
  MINUS: Nil    
Wawail PLUS: Five career wins from eleven runs, Politeness form line strong, run of the race off pace, three first up wins. B 0.5
  MINUS: Nil    
Tuscan Sling PLUS: Track and distance winner, four good track wins from eight attempts, unbeaten first up. From three runs. C 0.75
  MINUS: Nil.    
Azkadellia PLUS: Group 1 placed, four wins from nine starts career, two good track wins. D 1.25
  MINUS: Will get way back in slowly run race.    
Shakespearean Lass PLUS: Sits on pace, quick back up, two distance wins from three runs, four good track wins. E 1.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 13 February 2016
Caulfield 6 Hyland Colours Autumn Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 7 C.F. Orr Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 8 The Cup Club T.S. Carlyon Cup 1600m
Caulfield 9 Bellmaine Stakes 1200m
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EXOTICS Bellmaine Stakes 1200m
Exacta

A: 1 5 7

B: 1 4 5 7 9

Trifecta

A: 1 5 7

B: 1 4 5 7 9

C: 1 2 4 5 6 7 9

First Four

A: 1 5 7

B: 1 4 5 7 9

C: 1 2 4 5 6 7 9

D: 1 2 4 5 6 7 9 10

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