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Caulfield Race 9: Heatherlie Stakes 1700m

28/08/2015: By this stage of the day the track may require a serious wet tracker and Dig A Pony fits the bill. Her win last start was terrific as she looked in trouble mid field before the turn but when the split came she zoomed through to win authoritatively. The 3.5kg weight will assist the class rise against the males. Iggamacool has arguably been unlucky in all Victorian runs which is a concern as often this type of horse keeps finding trouble, somehow. Let’s see what happens this time. Lord Durante has the form at Caulfield and he will be a strong chance if the four weeks break has been planned. That’s where we punters are in the dark with spell breaks around four to seven weeks. Regardless it took a good horse to beat him last start in Bagman and that’s where we need to focus for this race. Pacific Heights has heaps of upside second up and looks a definite chance to improve. He has handled the wet overseas and I would expect that to transfer here. Races on the pace, too.Excess Knowledge is second up over 1700m which is a problem for a horse without serious wet track form at this level being asked to carry 58.5kg. He can win but I am wary for this start under wet conditions. Taiyoo wins races and is a trier as evidenced by his first up run when he was entitled to drop right out after being wide all the way. He will appreciate the extra distance but I am not totally sure about any softness in the track.

Caulfield Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 17:20, 29/08/2015

RACEMAPHeatherlie Stakes 1700m
Front Runners (8) Lord Durante, (14) Onpicalo.
On Pacers (2) Magnapal, (3) Pacific Heights, (5) Another Lad Al, (9) Travolta, (14) Dylan's Promise, (15) Excess Knowledge
Mid Fielders (1) Escado, (4) Extra Zero, (6) Bold Sniper, (10) Dig A Pony, (11) Iggimacool, (12) Maygrove, (16) Sonntag, (17) Taiyoo.
Get Back (13) La Amistad, (18) Let's Make A Deal.
PACE COMMENTS Most likely Onpicalo will lead however Lord Durante runs his best Caulfield runs by leading so it’s a bit of a toss up though Lord Durante hasn’t been leading recently. Thereafter it is a classic dogs breakfast as a stack of on pacers try and consolidate a good spot early and the mid fielders try the same. Make sure your odds are worth the risk for whatever you back as racemap wise this race, apart from the front runners, is a bit of a nightmare to predict.
CHANCESHeatherlie Stakes 1700mOrderMargin
Dig A Pony PLUS: Three from seven in wet, distance not an issue, trained at track P Moody, strong win last start. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back, needs luck, mare versus males, no claim available.    
Pacific Heights PLUS: Strong first Australian run, drops 5kg, seems to handle wet tracks without starring. B 0.5
  MINUS: Class rise though helped by weight drop, second up this distance.    
Iggimacool PLUS: Four from twelve good tracks, arguably unlucky all Melbourne runs, casual barrier trial recently. C 1
  MINUS: Gets back often finding trouble, one from six in wet.    
Lord Durante PLUS: Five from fifteen wet tracks, three from ten track, can lead or box seat. D 1.25
  MINUS: Twenty eight days break.    
Excess Knowledge PLUS: Needed first up run, four from fourteen career, four from ten good. E 2
  MINUS: Zero from four wet, second up distance with weight, bad barrier a problem.    
Taiyoo PLUS: Thirteen wins twenty eight runs career excellent, wide all way last rum forgive. F 2.5
  MINUS: Bad barrier, all wins on good tracks.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 29 August 2015
Caulfield 6 Hockingstuart Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 7 William Hill Sprint Series Heat 1 1200m
Caulfield 8 Memsie Stakes 1400m
Caulfield 9 Heatherlie Stakes 1700m
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