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Caulfield Race 9: L U Simon Builders Handicap 1600m

01/05/2015: Forgive Aragonese for his last start defeat as he just isn't a wet tracker yet still fought on well. Cast your mind back to when made Jacquinot Bay fight for victory and he's a chance in this race. Interesting to note D Gauci on board. He stars on leaders and I wonder if the stable may try to lead. Pin Your Hopes has won four races from ten runs third up or deeper. Forgive his last run at this track and distance, when caught wide, as the beaten margin was 2.45 lengths but it should have been one length. Pyrrolic is starting to be a heart breaker but his two runs for new trainer P Moody suggests we consider him a chance but at good odds as he gets back. Velox is, of course, an unknown factor but he has won twice at this distance and has to be given some sort of chance. Belorum has been unlucky his last two runs when wide and checked and when he got clear last run he ran home strongly. Three straight wins before the two luckless runs and I am intrigued by the D Gauci ride. Interesting! Place chances to Pop Culture, De Little Engine, Inoshowen, Oltre Finito and Tips And Beers. Don't be afraid to go wide in the quadrella.

Caulfield Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 16:55, 02/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (6) Northern Lyric, (13) Belorum.
On Pacers (1) Aragonese, (8) Free Of Doubt, (9) Inoshowen.
Mid Fielders (2) Pin Your Hopes, (3) Pyrrolic, (4) Velox, (5) Oltre Finito, (7) Tips And Beers, (14) Angelogy.
Get Back (10) De Little Engine, (11) Doumaran, (12) Anfitriona, (15) Pop Culture.
PACE COMMENTS This is a tricky race as initially I didn't have a front runner and have used some poetic licence to slot Northern Lyric and Belorum as leaders as normally they seem to be on pacers. Whenever I have a race like this I consider my racemap to be simple guess work, to a point. All I can say is don't think about pace, just think about the best form.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Aragonese PLUS: Perfect run off pace, last run soft track not suitable easy win prior, D Gauci front running ride? A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Pin Your Hopes PLUS: Four from ten third up deeper, wide all way second up, 1.5kg claim helps, four eight distance. B 0.25
  MINUS: Mid fielder at best usually but can kick through today??    
Belorum PLUS: Strong finish last start after held up, three good track wins, D Weir D Gauci is interesting. C 0.5
  MINUS: Will have to drop back from wide barrier.    
Pyrrolic PLUS: Two bottlers for new trainer, forget poor track stats seldom beaten by much here. D 1.25
  MINUS: Better wet tracks, gets back, claim would have helped.    
Velox PLUS: Two from six distance, Werrett Bloodstock have winning ways. E 2
  MINUS: Unknown factor but weak open helps.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Angelology and Doumaran (distance), Northern Lyric (28 days, last run very poor), Free Of Doubt (28 days, struggling form wise), Anfitriona (mare who gets way back early).
OUTCLASSED Nil.
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 2 May 2015
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Caulfield 9 L U Simon Builders Handicap 1600m
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