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Caulfield Race 9: Noel Rundle Handicap 1400m

03/04/2015: Telopea is the anchor leg in the quadrella. She ticks all the boxes and just needs average luck to win. The rise in class is negated by her effort last start when she sat wide all the way yet still won comfortably. Marli Magic, with the very handy 3kg claim, represents the main danger as she will also receive a top run off the pace. Her slight worry is the six weeks break which may tell the tale against Telopea. Written seems to have a tough gig drawn wide but she has enough pace to get over to sit off the likely leader Lady Lakshmi. She fought really hard last start after working a fraction early and was left a sitting shot for Nadeem Lass and Bippo No Bungus. I am not a fan of Nadeem Lass but sometimes mares like her have a good campaign after winning a race and for just this once I am going to give her a chance to repeat. Her negatives are alarming, though. Place chances go to Vibrant Rouge, Lady Cumquat, Ava’s Delight, Minnie Downs, Bippo No Bungus and Soosa Rama.

Caulfield Race 9. RaceTime: AEDT 17:30, 04/04/2015

Front Runners (5) Lady Lakshmi, (20) Written.
On Pacers (1) Telopea, (8) Marli Magic, (9) Whistle Baby, (11) Chicquada.
Mid Fielders (3) Vibrant Rouge, (6) Soosa Rama, (12) It's One, (13) Nadeem Lass, (14) Winta Chiller, (17) Refere, (18) Bippo No Bungus.
Get Back (2) Paddy's Gem, (4) Let's Be A Star, (7) Hai Lil, (10) Ava's Delight, (15) Minnie Downs, (16) Lady Cumquat, (19) Miss Softhands.
PACE COMMENTS Lady Lakshmi should lead fairly easily with Written roaring over from her wide barrier. The on pacers all have the ability to vie for the lead, as well, and if they do attempt an early surge the pace will definitely be solid enough for the back markers to be considered chances. At the worst the pace should be even.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Telopea PLUS: Three from three distance and good tracks, receives gun run off pace. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Marli Magic PLUS: Three from ten good tracks, 3kg claim very helpful. B 1.25
  MINUS: Six weeks break.    
Written PLUS: Two from five distance, four from ten good tracks. C 2
  MINUS: Wide barrier.    
Nadeem Lass PLUS: Last start winner. D 2.25
  MINUS: Only three wins, one from twelve distance, zero from seven track.    
RISKY Lady Lakshmi (weakening late in races), Hai Lil, Let's Be A Star, Refer, Winta Chiller, Whistle Baby, Paddy's Gem and Miss Softhands (have ability but will struggle this level).
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 4 April 2015
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Caulfield 9 Noel Rundle Handicap 1400m
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