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Caulfield Race 9: Noel Rundle Handicap 2000m

25/03/2016: Goodness gracious: what a nightmare. I had to ask the handicapper for help via his ratings of each horse and I eliminated TAB numbers 11 on wards as at the weights they will struggle. From there it was obvious the two class runners were Chabaud and Hardern and I added Pay Up Bro and Jadeer based on their placings in last years 3yo Geelong Classic, a traditional lead up to a Group 1 VRC Derby start. I felt Pay Up Bro was the better run in the Classic so he slots ahead of Jadeer. Bullish Stock has BM70 form as do Cool Chap, Skullduggery and Miss Clooney and that's where I had to draw the metaphorical line in the sand. From there I decided the race map favoured Cool Chap and Bullish Stock so they became my AB selections followed by Hardern (will have to go wide from way back) and Chabaud (will need to be ridden for luck from barrier one) just on the class factor. From here on I slotted the rougher chances into the remaining positions without any great confidence. Definitely the load up leg of the quaddie.

Caulfield Race 9. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEDT 17:30, 26/03/2016

RACEMAPNoel Rundle Handicap 2000m
Front Runners (4) Last Typhoon, (12) Our Delinquent.
On Pacers (2) Cool Chap, (3) Artesian, (5) Jadeer, (7) Tuff Bikkie, (8) Bullish Stock, (10) Skeletons, (15) Triple Effort, (17) Sarimanok.
Mid Fielders (6) Miss Clooney, (9) See Line Woman, (13) Rosamond, (19) Hardern.
Get Back (1) Chabaud, (11) Skullduggery, (14) Wintonia, (16) Pay Up Bro, (18) Unison.
PACE COMMENTS When I construct a race map for this site I do so based on the normal in running pattern of the contenders. In a race like this you know horses like Triple Effort and Sarimanok (normally on pacers) will either go for the lead or ease back. I don’t know which the stable prefers hence the maps are presented on the basis of normality. For this race map don’t worry about pace one iota. There will be action early without doubt providing a good, solid pace.
CHANCESNoel Rundle Handicap 2000mOrderMargin
Cool Chap PLUS: By Irish sire so distance should be ok, can lead or take sit, lightly raced improver. A 0
  MINUS: Plus 400 metres but breeding heps to negate this problem.    
Bullish Stock PLUS: Two good track wins, found longer distance an issue last run, sits on pace. B 0.25
  MINUS: Not raced 34 days.    
Hardern PLUS: Group 2 Alister Clarke Stakes formline, good track suits, distance seems fine on last run. C 0.5
  MINUS: Wide barrier but will drop back and speed is in the race.    
Chabaud PLUS: Tasmanian Oaks winner from last early, has speed when it counts, distance and track conditions suitable. D 0.75
  MINUS: Needs luck from inside barrier.    
Skulduggery PLUS: Form line around Cool Chap, He's Our Rokkii, good track suitable. E 1
  MINUS: Gets back and rises 400m in distance.    
Pay Up Bro PLUS: Can lead or sit on pace, Geelong Classic at 2200m was an issue this distance better, four flops in wet so good track best. F 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back and rises 400m in distance.    
Jadeer PLUS: Can stay as per Geelong Classic run when wide storming home, good track runs show this track condition is suitable. G 1.5
  MINUS: Bad flop in Alister Clarke Stakes but perhaps third up not strong enough be forgiving.    
Miss Clooney PLUS: 3kg claim and filly weight relief helps, by staying sire helps with distance, good track suitable. H 1.75
  MINUS: Filly versus males and slight distance risk balanced fractionally with claim.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 26 March 2016
Caulfield 6 Catanach's Jewellers Handicap 1800m
Caulfield 7 Victoria Handicap 1400m
Caulfield 8 Le Pine Funerals Easter Cup 2000m
Caulfield 9 Noel Rundle Handicap 2000m
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EXOTICS Noel Rundle Handicap 2000m
Exacta

A: 3 7

B: 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10

Trifecta

A: 3 7

B: 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10

C: 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10

First Four

A: 3 7

B: 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10

C: 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10

D: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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