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Caulfield Race 9: The Cove Hotel Handicap 1600m

18/09/2015: Although Sailing By is a filly against males I feel the run last start in a BM78 against two handy fillies Alaskan Rose and Giulietta combined with a really helpful 3kg weight drop will be enough to register a win. The win by Etymology last start was a strong effort however winning a maiden easily isn’t always a recipe for winning at Caulfield but he is a definite improver and they are often the hardest horses to assess. Del Piero circled the field last start, when the pace was ordinary, and consequently had to work. He was only beaten 1.45 lengths (this should have been less) and the rider lost his whip at the 400m mark. It was the run before, however, when he finished close to Bon Aurum and Lizard Island, that really suggests he is a chance at good odds. Invincible Knight was held up for a fair part of the straight first up at Sandown finishing near Patch Adams who ran a top race at Flemington his next run beaten by Bon Aurum and Lizard Island. Assertive Star finished fifth beaten less than a length by Patch Adams in the Sandown race. A win by either of this last trio would not surprise so save on them.

Caulfield Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 17:20, 19/09/2015

RACEMAPThe Cove Hotel Handicap 1600m
Front Runners (2) Multifacets.
On Pacers (4) Sailing By, (8) Koolamaa Bay, (9) Pay Up Bro, (10) More Than Perfect, (12) Aztec Storm, (13) Kentucky Flyer, (14) Etymology.
Mid Fielders (3) Zacada, (5) Del Piero, (6) Salaamat, (11) Del Grappa.
Get Back (1) Assertive Star, (7) Zapurbly, (15) Four By Four, (16) Invincible Knight, (17) Polish Tiger, (18) Tarzino.
PACE COMMENTS Multifacets should lead based on his Seymour win but there is a wall of on pacers led by the favourite Sailing By sitting right behind him early. I suspect those drawn wide (Aztec Storm, Kentucky Flyer and Etymology) will go forward either with zest or restraint depending on what happens ahead with Multifacets. With this sort of race map it's hard to be sure of what is going to happen so we have to assume the pace will be fair but with no great amount of conviction. I am keen on a couple of the back markers but I am demanding good odds as they have a job ahead of them.
CHANCESThe Cove Hotel Handicap 1600mOrderMargin
Sailing By PLUS: Last run strong, lightly raced improver. A 0
  MINUS: Filly versus males.    
Etymology PLUS: Easy win last start, lightly raced. B 0.25
  MINUS: Beat maiden field last run.    
Del Piero PLUS: Lost whip last run, lightly raced improver, Bon Aurum Lizard Island formline strong. C 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back at times, needs pace.    
Assertive Star PLUS: Lost whip last run, lightly raced improver, Bon Aurum Lizard Island formline strong. D 1.5
  MINUS: Gets back, needs pace.    
Invincible Knight PLUS: Lizard Island formline, no luck first up run. E 2.5
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 19 September 2015
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Caulfield 9 The Cove Hotel Handicap 1600m
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