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Caulfield Race 9: TROA Bel Esprit Stakes 1100m

17/04/2015: Sabatini has shown to have a will to win in her short career and I don’t see why she cannot score win number four at her favourite track by sitting mid field and unleashing in the straight. Gregers, like Sabatini, has a liking for Caulfield but has to concede Sabatini five kilograms (ratings wise correct) and that might sway the result in Sabatini’s favour. Tried And Tired has won seven races in a short seventeen runs career thus knows about winning. He has a tougher job in this race off 82 days against two track and distance specialists but a win wouldn’t surprise. Jazz Song jarred up first up and her second up run was a bit lacklustre in the wfa Kevin Heffernan but I am prepared to believe that run may have been a by product of the first up problems so I am going to forgive her. Her win over Griante, who has been racing really well in Sydney, shows she has the class for this race. Runway Star just keeps improving and her win over open company Adelaide horse Riziz was an excellent effort. Place chances to It Is Written, Pago Rock, Vatican, Politeness, Eloping , Hazard and Inspector.

Caulfield Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 16:45, 18/04/2015

Front Runners (10 Gregers.
On Pacers (2) Eloping, (3) Hazard, (8) Vatican, (9) Tried And Tired, (16) African Pulse.
Mid Fielders (4) Inspector, (6) Thermal Current, (7) It Is Written, (11) General Truce, (12) Runway Star, (13) Pago Rock, (15) Sabatini.
Get Back (5) Politeness, (10) Jazz Song, (14) Unpretentious.
PACE COMMENTS Gregers can lead from her inside barrier but I don’t think it will be by any great margin as the on pacers will be in close attendance. A race with genuine pace.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Sabatini PLUS: Two three distance, three five track, three seven good track. A 0
  MINUS: Just gets back a tad five weeks break.    
Gregers PLUS: Likely leader, three seven track, one two track and distance, six nineteen career. B 0.25
  MINUS: Just gets back a tad.    
Tried And Tired PLUS: Three six fresh, one two track. C 1.25
  MINUS: Three five wet, 82 days spell.    
Jazz Song PLUS: Two three first up, three nine distance, three eleven career. D 1.5
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Runway Star PLUS: Four eight good, four eleven career, three four first up. E 2
  MINUS: Gets back, 40 days break, plus class from last first up win    
RISKY Unpretentious, Thermal Current, African Pulse and General Truce (all too hard to follow).
Quadrella Race# Caulfield 18 April 2015
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