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Doomben Race 7: Hardy Brothers Doomben Cup 2000m

20/05/2016: Rolling the dice here and tipping that talented mare Noble Protector can find her best form and take this out. Strong effort last time when 3rd to Azkadellia in the Group 1 Coolmore Legacy over 1600m at Randwick on soft ground. The jump up to the 2000m and the prospect of drier ground are 2 big pluses for this mares chances. Comes off 41 day freshen up but has trialled. It's Somewhat put 2 terrific wins together at Rosehill 3 and 4 runs back and was forced to cover extra ground when unplaced last time at the Gold Coast. That was off a 28 day break so should strip fitter for this assignment. Messene can find the fence early here and on best form can lead these for a very long way. Easy Listed winner last time at Wagga and should offer plenty of cheek here. Volkstok'n'barrell is a multiple Group 1 winner in N.Z. and found the line nicely last time when 3rd over 1800m at the Gold Coast. Has won 2 from 3 at the 2000m so the step up looks a plus. Hauraki is always a chance and is never far away in whatever he competes, the worry is he's been beaten at his last 10 runs and that is a concern. Leebaz is not one of my favourites but winning over 1800m at the Gold Coast last time and has won over the 2000m is a plus. Should be in the firing line here and best form has him right up around the placings in this.

Doomben Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 16:01, 21/05/2016

RACEMAPHardy Brothers Doomben Cup 2000m
Front Runners (2) Leebaz, (4) Messene.
On Pacers (8) Noble Protector, (9) It's Somewhat.
Mid Fielders (1) Hauraki, (3) Spiritjim, (5) Volkstok'n'barrel, (6) Our Ivanhowe.
Get Back (7) Lady Le Fay, (10) Maurus.
PACE COMMENTS An unusual occurrence is about to happen as both front runners, Messene and Leebaz, are trained by the Hawkes Team, so who is going to lead or will they eyeball one another? It’s only a guess but I am slotting Messene as the leader as I suspect the connections of that runner will decide it is going to be mighty tough to get past Leebaz, if the latter leads. The other chances, led in the betting by Hauraki, will get their chance as whenever Leebaz or Messene lead they don’t mess around in the lead.
CHANCESHardy Brothers Doomben Cup 2000mOrderMargin
Noble Protector PLUS: Good 3rd this level last run, distance increase a plus, drier track a plus. A 0
  MINUS: Beaten last 6 runs    
It's Somewhat PLUS: Winner Grp 2 level, covered extra ground last time, winner this distance. B 0.5
  MINUS: Unplaced last 2 runs.    
Messene PLUS: Placed Grp 1 level, easy Listed winner last time, should lead here. C 0.75
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Volkstok'n'barrell PLUS: Multiple Grp 1 winner in N.Z, won 2 from 3 at distance, well drawn. D 1.5
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 9 Australian starts.    
Hauraki PLUS: Placed Grp 1 level, goes well this distance, well drawn. E 1.75
  MINUS: Beaten last 10 starts.    
Leebaz PLUS: Last start Grp 2 winner, winner this distance, well drawn. F 2.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Quadrella Race# Doomben 21 May 2016
Doomben 5 Darley Brc Sprint 1350m
Doomben 6 Magic Millions The Roses 2000m
Doomben 7 Hardy Brothers Doomben Cup 2000m
Doomben 8 Sky Racing Fred Best Classic 1350m
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EXOTICS Hardy Brothers Doomben Cup 2000m
Exacta

A: 2 5 6 9

B: 2 5 6 9

Trifecta

A: 2 4 5 6 9

B: 2 4 5 6 9

C: 2 4 5 6 9

First Four

A: 2 5 9 4

B: 2 4 5 6 9

C: 1 2 4 5 6 9

D: 1 2 4 5 6 9

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