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Doomben Race 7: Queensland Derby 2200m

5/6/2015: There was nothing wrong with the win by Werther at wfa last Saturday when he soundly beat the likes of proven open age winners Moriarty and Epingle. You would think the drop back to his own age group would be a bonus. I certainly do. If you fancy Upham, and why shouldn’t you, the addition of Sadler’s Lake who beat Upham two runs ago is a formality. On the same basis you have to add Redoutable Heart with his good barrier draw and Chillin With Dylan as his finish last run was very strong. Add Magicool on his win beating open company horse Kenjorwood (he’s a contender for bet of the day at Moonee Valley) at Flemington. Place chances go to Jumbo Prince, Worthy Cause, Thermogenic, Harry and Spur On Gold.

Doomben Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 14:57, 06/06/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (2) Redoutable Choice, (8) Rising Luck, (18) Sadler's Lake.
On Pacers (1) Werther, (7) High Midnight, (10) Jumbo Prince, (17 Magicoll.
Mid Fielders (3) Inauguration, (6) Thermogenic, (11) Worthy Cause, (14) Allzin.
Get Back (4) Harry, (5) Lucoblu, (9) Quick Strike, (15) Grappa Brandy, (16) Spur On Gold, (19) Chillin With Dylan.
PACE COMMENTS There are enough horses likely to lead or be on pace to suggest the pace will be solid going out of the straight. However, in most distances races of this type for relatively immature three year olds, the leaders would tend to drop anchor to assist their steeds to run the distance. This means the mid fielders need to be good enough to make up the ground plus run strong sectionals to win. This is going to be a race where, if you like a back marker or even mid fielder, you will have to take your chances.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Werther PLUS: Wfa winner against own age this track and distance, perfectly drawn. A 0
  MINUS: Seven day backup off hard run and several runs this campaign.    
Upham PLUS: P Moody improver, goes forward, last win no fluke. B 1.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Sadler's Lake PLUS: Beat Upham two runs ago, taken on mid race last start thus sitting shot. C 1.75
  MINUS: Nil.    
Magicool PLUS: Open age form versus Kenjorwood, distance not an issue. D 2
  MINUS: Barrier draw only issue.    
Redoutable Heart PLUS: Second to Upham last start. E 2.25
  MINUS: Not won too many but perhaps more of a stayer?    
Chillin With Dylan PLUS: Strong behind Upham. F 2.5
  MINUS: Not won too many but perhaps more of a stayer?    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED High Midnight, Quick Strike, Rising Luck, Grappa Brandy, Allzin, Lucoblu.
Quadrella Race# Doomben 6 June 2015
Doomben 6 BMW JJ Atkins 1600m
Doomben 7 Queensland Derby 2200m
Doomben 8 Stradbroke Handicap 1350m
Doomben 9 Brisbane Cup 2200m
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