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Doomben Race 7: The Roses 2020m

22/05/2015: This is another tricky little race. The New Zealand form for Platinum Witness looks about right when balanced up against Ballet Suite. The former has a bit of class her way whilst the latter is working her way through the grades quite well. There won’t be much between them in the finish. Exquisite Jewel finished one length behind Werther in New Zealand and that horse finished about 1.5 lengths behind Platinum Witness so there isn’t a great deal between that combination. Bohemian Lily just finished behind Ballet Suite with Col ‘N’ Lil finishing just short of two lengths behind the pair so pop them into the riddle as well. Although Sebrina is up in class on paper that doubt can be a tad obliterated by her wet track ability and obvious improvement so in she goes, too. Add No Tricks for the place but that is it: no more chances for me. Yes, I have a few chances but it’s that type of race.

Doomben Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 15:17, 23/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (1) Glitter Face.
On Pacers (2) Whatalovelyday, (3) Yulong Baby, (8) Col 'N' Lil, (11) Bohemian Lady, (12) Fitrocacy, (15) No Tricks.
Mid Fielders (4) Exquisite Jewel, (7) Platinum Witness, (10) Elusive Catch, (14) Rather Heroic.
Get Back (2) Ballet Suite, (5) Artistic Choice, (9) Lead Husson, (13) Sebrina.
PACE COMMENTS Although I have just one horse leading looking at the wall of forward contenders behind Glitter Face it seems fairly safe to consider this race will be run at a solid pace. Don’t despair too much pace wise if you are on a back marker.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Platinum Witness PLUS: New Zealand Group form, handles wet, distance not an issue best rated by five points. A 0
  MINUS: Mid fielder.    
Ballet Suite PLUS: Four from eight career improver, handles wet, distance not an issue. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Bohemian Lily PLUS: Bred for distance, lightly raced Gai Waterhouse improver. C 0.5
  MINUS: Had every chance versus Ballet Suite last start.    
Exquisite Jewel PLUS: Not far off Platinum Witness in New Zealand, handles wet and distance not a problem D 1
  MINUS: 35 days break, gets back, possibly better this level in dry conditions.    
Col 'N' Lil PLUS: Close to Bohemian Lily two runs ago, last run quite acceptable first distance run, improver at odds. E 1.25
  MINUS: Covered by Ballet Suite through Bohemian Lily.    
Sebrina PLUS: Lightly raced improver, handles wet. F 2
  MINUS: Distance query.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Fitocracy (Kansas Sunflower/Choix De Maia formline dubious for this), Whatalovelyday (distance issue this stage), Yulong Baby (almost a chance for the M Price factor but class jump a concern balanced by wet though).
OUTCLASSED Elusive Catch, Lead Husson, Rather Heroic, Glitter Face, Artistic Choice.
Quadrella Race# Doomben 23 May 2015
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