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Doomben Race 8: Queensland Day 1200m

29/05/2015: Good Project has been sent to Brisbane, a positive C Waller move, after a solid first up run and can be reasonably expected to improve. Durendal’s last two wins have been quite strong efforts and the Ellerton-Zahra very rarely send horses as far as Queensland without strong feelings about a win. Beau Jet has flopped away from Doomben in his last two runs and is heading for a hat trick of wins at the track. Cantbuybetter is unbeaten and with H Bowman aboard there is every expectation for five out of five. True Royal ran on solidly first up against the older horses and will improve against his own age. She’s Miss Devine sprinted through to win on the line first up and is another first up improver as is the runner up to her from their last meeting Outback Saga. Peggy Jean has to be considered but more as a place chance having her first Snowden run and drawing awfully means she would have to come from last to win. Mohave is a classic "on his day" horse but he has company near the lead and that might just be enough to frighten him off. Soldi Domani wouldn’t surprise on past form lines but is becoming hard to catch even after only fourteen runs.

Doomben Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:32, 30/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (4) True Royal, (9) Mywayorthehighway, (10) Mohave.
On Pacers (1) She's Miss Devine, (2) Soldi Domani, (3) Crooked Blaze, (7) Outback Saga.
Mid Fielders (6) Durendal, (7) Mischievous Devil, (11) Good Project, (12) Can't Buy Better, (13) Golden Falls, (14) Tina Mellina.
Get Back (8) Beau Jet, (15) Peggy Jean.
PACE COMMENTS The pace should be solid with three front runners and with three of my four on pacers drawn the inside three barriers I am imagining one or two will try and utilize their good barriers. Don't worry if you are on Peggy Jean because if she is fit enough the pace here will suit her.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Durendal PLUS: C Williams aboard, three from four distance, hat trick imminent. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Cantbuybetter PLUS: Unbeaten, potential there, H Bowman aboard, two from two distance. B 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back.    
True Royal PLUS: Two from five distance, class drop from first up run, likely leader who could surprise. C 1
  MINUS: Nil.    
She's Miss Devine PLUS: Three from seven career, three from six good tracks,on pace improver. D 1.25
  MINUS: Filly versus males.    
Outback Saga PLUS: Kept fighting first up, two of last three runs can be forgiven. E 1.5
  MINUS: Filly versus males.    
Good Project PLUS: Strong first up, C Waller to Brisbane F 2
  MINUS: One from nine good tracks, six seconds thirteen career runs not good.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED Crooked Blaze, Mischievous Devil, Mywayorthehighway, Tina Melina, Golden Falls.
Quadrella Race# Doomben 30 May 2015
Doomben 5 QTC Cup 1200m
Doomben 6 Shadow Handicap 1200m
Doomben 7 Queensland Oaks 2200m
Doomben 8 Queensland Day 1200m
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