Today's Big Bets 0
Amount Bet Today $0
Most Bet Today

Doomben Race 9: Brisbane Cup 2200m

5/6/2015: The pace of the race will decide the winner and the horse who is ridden the best as well goes close to winning and I am suggesting Epingle, with H Bowman aboard, fills the criteria, especially on an each way basis. Her last two runs have been at wfa, a tougher task than her win beating Index Linked in the Chairman’s Handicap. It’s a real toss up thereafter between Index Linked, Let’s Make Adeal (a very strong win in Adelaide), Moriarty (tried hard behind Werther but the 3.5kg difference was just too much) and Sense Of Occasion (the Joseph Pride "new boy" on the block coming through the grades). Basically it’s luck in running really the only thing that separates them.

Doomben Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 16:17, 06/06/2015

Front Runners (1) Epingle, (8) Volkhere.
On Pacers (3) Moriarty, (4) Landlocked, (6) Sense Of Occasion, (7) Lucciola.
Mid Fielders (2) Index Linked, (5) Let's Make Adeal, (12) Escado.
Get Back (9) Surpass, (10) Vilanova, (11) Major Major, (13) Jetset Lad.
PACE COMMENTS Epingle and Volkhere will vie for the lead but not at a cut throat rate which finds the on pacers basically lobbing along behind. This assumed soft early pace will be an issue for the likes of Index Linked, Let's Make Adeal and Escado who will be mid field and stronger concerns for the get back horses. I wouldn't be totally bagging the mid fielders but I will be wary about their prices.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Epingle PLUS: Perfect draw, meets Moriarty better by 2kg last run. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Moriarty PLUS: Thirteen wins good track, genuine trier, well drawn, small field little pace last run no help. B 0.5
  MINUS: Physical weight 59kg, meets Epingle worse at weights.    
Index Linked PLUS: Eleven from twenty two good tracks enormous statistic, genuine racehorse. C 0.75
  MINUS: Can get back.    
Let's Make Adeal PLUS: Last win strong with no favours in run. D 1
  MINUS: Weaker company last run, only three wins career not flash.    
Sense Of Occasion PLUS: J Pride improver, fought hard last run. E 1.25
  MINUS: Goes best on wet tracks with three from five.    
RISKY Landlocked (just a tad below this level), Vilanova (impossible to follow), Jetset Lad (finishes near Vilanova on form thus risk here for win), Volkhere (will give cheek but last 100m the issue this level).
OUTCLASSED Surpass, Major Major.
Quadrella Race# Doomben 6 June 2015
Doomben 6 BMW JJ Atkins 1600m
Doomben 7 Queensland Derby 2200m
Doomben 8 Stradbroke Handicap 1350m
Doomben 9 Brisbane Cup 2200m
Go to Quaddie Picker