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Doomben Race 9: Mick Dittman Plate 1200m

08/05/2015: If weights means anything Kuro is home but sadly weight specials alone does not provide enough winners as there are other factors to consider. Two starts ago he was comprehensively trounced by Sweet Idea but she is a top liner however 0.1 of a length behind Kuro was last Saturday’s Group 1 winner the little nugget Miracles Of Life. That’s tip top form for this. Last start I had Kuro running in a double and I wasn’t happy with the ride by Blake Shinn who in a rare display of panic didn’t seem to know what to do in the run. Consequently Kuro was wide all the way and there went my double. Miss Cover Girl will give all she has and her stats look pretty good all told. If Kuro is off his game she can win this quite easily, especially if she jumps with the field. Shees Flawless is an unknown quantity but we do know trainer R James and he is top notch and wouldn’t be bringing the filly to Australia without having a strong opinion of her. If Rekindled Power runs up to his first up run this improver can win, too. As stated earlier Kuro is a weights special but it isn’t all about weights, is it!

Doomben Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 16:42, 09/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (3) Mywayorthehighway, (14) Kuro.
On Pacers (1) Deiheros, (4) Soldi Domani, (5) Shees Flawless, (6) Cover Girl, (7) Jabali, (9) Pinch River.
Mid Fielders (8) Lucky Tom, (10) Staviva, (11) Sarajevo, (13) Homehill.
Get Back (2) Spur Le Joeur, (12) Rekindled Power, (15) Hijack Hussy.
PACE COMMENTS If my racemap is correct the pace will be short lived early as my two front runners will jog to the lead while the on pacers will jostle for an early position. The hard part to calculate is if one or two of the six on pacers I have listed decide to attack for the lead considering there are only two out in front. I am going to assume the pace to moderate which will not help the back markers at all but might not be such an issue for the mid fielders.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Kuro PLUS: High class, weight special, two from five heavy, wide all way last run forgive. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Miss Cover Girl PLUS: Keeps winning, seven from eleven career, two from five track, two from two wet. B 0.5
  MINUS: Can get back at times.    
Shees Flawless PLUS: Astute NZ R James stable, won last three starts, four from nine distance. C 1
  MINUS: Class of horses he's been beating.    
Rekindled Power PLUS: Excellent run to Delectation, Bring The Maid, classic lightly raced improver. D 2
  MINUS: Gets well back.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Staviva and Hijack Hussy (first up wide barrier this class).
OUTCLASSED Jabali, Soldi Domani, Homehill, Lucky Tom, Spur Le Joeur, Mywayorthehighway.
Quadrella Race# Doomben 9 May 2015
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