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Eagle Farm Race 10: Treasury Casino & Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m

10/06/2016: The renewal of this year's QLD Oaks must be one if not the most open on record. Tipping Provocative here on an each way basis. This lightly raced filly has won 3 times from 6 runs and was a runaway Open class winner last time pout at Ipswich. She's by the great staying sire Zabeel so this trip here could be right up her alley. Has to overcome a horror draw but with any luck could deliver a knockout blow. Chabaud obviously derived great benefit from her Flemington run after a 28 day break and came out last time for an easy win at Group 3 level over 2500m at Morphettville. Was beaten less than 2 lengths in the Australian Group 1 Oaks at Randwick in April and a repeat of last effort throws her right in the frame. Falkenberg hasn't won beyond 1600m and hasn't had much luck in her last 3 runs. Has had some strong backing this week when her form only reads average here and must be respected on weight of money alone. Kebede has won 4 from 9 and comes off a last start Group 2 win over 2000m at Doomben. Has obvious potential and drawn to get a sweet run. Big watch. Imposing Lass has won 4 placed 2 from 6 runs and comes from the in form Bjorn Baker stable. Had very wide gate last time when 3rd to Kebede and draws much better here. Can turn the tables if luck goes her way. Ambience has horror draw but her form up and over 2000m is good.

Eagle Farm Race 10. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 16:20, 11/06/2016

RACEMAPTreasury Casino & Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m
Front Runners (4) Self Esteem, (10) Imposing Lass, (13) Tap This, (17) Zasorceress.
On Pacers (1) Ashlee Marie, (5) Kebede, (14) Chabaud, (15) Romantic Maid.
Mid Fielders (6) Zafiki, (9) Meru, (11) Mount Omei, (16) Tavi Bay, (18) Sahara Sun, (19) Sebring Sally, (21) Ambience.
Get Back (2) Dulverton, (3) Falkenberg, (8) Queen Of Wands, (12) Alaskan Rose, (20) Provocotive, (22) Dawnie Perfect.
PACE COMMENTS It is going to be quite interesting as they head down the straight for the first time as I have four front runners but none of them may want to lead as they still have to run the distance and any early exertions could be costly. Most likely Zasorceress will be the leader as she has to negotiate a very wide barrier and I cannot imagine the jockey allowing himself to be caught wide early. We also have Kebede and Ashlee Marie, who aren’t actual front runners, but they just have to kick up from their terrific barriers or lose that advantage. All told the pace will be hectic early as the jostling for position takes effect. This means we can accept the fact the pace will solid enough to give the back markers their chance if those ahead struggle at the distance.
CHANCESTreasury Casino & Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400mOrderMargin
Provocative PLUS: Won 3 from 6, easy winner last time out lower grade, bred to relish this distance. A 0
  MINUS: Rises in class, has horror draw.    
Chabaud PLUS: Easy Grp 3 winner last time, needed the run prior to that, from astute stable. B 0.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Falkenberg PLUS: Won 2 placed 3 from 8, well supported of late, from very astute stable. C 1.25
  MINUS: Rises in class, yet to win past 1600m.    
Kebede PLUS: Last start Grp 2 winner, won 4 placed 2 from 9, well drawn. D 1.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Imposing Lass PLUS: Won 4 placed 2 from 6, from in form stable, last start Grp 2 winner. E 2
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Ambience PLUS: Good form at 2000m and beyond, strong trainer / jockey combo. F 3
  MINUS: Rises in class, has horror draw.    
Quadrella Race# Eagle Farm 11 June 2016
Eagle Farm 7 BMW J.J. Atkins 1600m
Eagle Farm 8 Channel 7 Queensland Derby 2400m
Eagle Farm 9 AAMI Stradbroke Handicap 1400m
Eagle Farm 10 Treasury Casino & Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m
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EXOTICS Treasury Casino & Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m
Exacta

A: 2 4 12 19

B: 2 4 12 19

Trifecta

A: 2 3 4 12 19

B: 2 3 4 12 19

C: 2 3 4 12 19

First Four

A: 2 12 19

B: 2 4 12 3 19

C: 2 3 4 12 19

D: 2 3 4 12 19

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